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Book part
Publication date: 22 November 2012

Structural Estimation of the New-Keynesian Model: A Formal Test of Backward- and Forward-Looking Behavior

Tae-Seok Jang

This chapter analyzes the empirical relationship between the pricesetting/consumption behavior and the sources of persistence in inflation and output. First, a small-scale…

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Abstract

This chapter analyzes the empirical relationship between the pricesetting/consumption behavior and the sources of persistence in inflation and output. First, a small-scale New-Keynesian model (NKM) is examined using the method of moment and maximum likelihood estimators with US data from 1960 to 2007. Then a formal test is used to compare the fit of two competing specifications in the New-Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) and the IS equation, that is, backward- and forward-looking behavior. Accordingly, the inclusion of a lagged term in the NKPC and the IS equation improves the fit of the model while offsetting the influence of inherited and extrinsic persistence; it is shown that intrinsic persistence plays a major role in approximating inflation and output dynamics for the Great Inflation period. However, the null hypothesis cannot be rejected at the 5% level for the Great Moderation period, that is, the NKM with purely forward-looking behavior and its hybrid variant are equivalent. Monte Carlo experiments investigate the validity of chosen moment conditions and the finite sample properties of the chosen estimation methods. Finally, the empirical performance of the formal test is discussed along the lines of the Akaike's and the Bayesian information criterion.

Details

DSGE Models in Macroeconomics: Estimation, Evaluation, and New Developments
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/S0731-9053(2012)0000028013
ISBN: 978-1-78190-305-6

Keywords

  • Backward- and forward-looking behavior
  • formal test
  • intrinsic persistence
  • maximum likelihood
  • method of moment
  • New-Keynesian

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Book part
Publication date: 13 August 2018

Work Motivation

Robert L. Dipboye

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The Emerald Review of Industrial and Organizational Psychology
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-78743-785-220181006
ISBN: 978-1-78743-786-9

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Article
Publication date: 27 July 2012

Threshold effects and inflation persistence in South Africa

Andrew Phiri

The purpose of this paper is to evaluate threshold effects in the persistence of South African aggregate inflation data.

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to evaluate threshold effects in the persistence of South African aggregate inflation data.

Design/methodology/approach

The conventional approach for assessing the degree of persistence within an inflation process is via its integration properties. This study makes use of univariate threshold autoregressive (TAR) models and associated unit root testing procedures to investigate the integration properties of the inflation data. Out‐of‐sample forecasts are further performed for the TAR models and their linear counterparts.

Findings

The empirical results confirm threshold effects in the persistence of all employed aggregated measures of inflation, whereas such asymmetric effects are ambiguous for disaggregated inflation measures. None of the observed series is found to be stationary in their levels. The out‐of‐sample forecasts for all TAR models outperform their linear counterparts.

Practical implications

Given the scope of the study, the empirical analysis provides insight with concern to the performance of inflation subsequent to the adoption of the inflation target regime in South Africa. Of particular interest are the low persistence levels observed at inflation rates of below 4.7 and 4.4 percent for core and CPI inflation, respectively, as both these aggregated measures of inflation play an essential role in guiding monetary policy conduct within the economy. The overall findings imply that on an aggregate level, the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB's) current inflation target of 3‐6 percent encompasses a non‐stationary inflation range and thus proves to be restrictive on monetary policy conduct.

Originality/value

The paper fills in an important gap in the academic literature by evaluating asymmetric effects in the integration properties of inflation, at both aggregated and disaggregated levels, for the exclusive case of South Africa.

Details

Journal of Financial Economic Policy, vol. 4 no. 3
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/17576381211245971
ISSN: 1757-6385

Keywords

  • South Africa
  • Monetary policy
  • Inflation
  • Macroeconomics
  • Money supply
  • Credit
  • Time‐series models
  • Single equation models
  • Single variables
  • Mathematical and quantitative methods
  • Deflation
  • Business fluctuations and cycles
  • Monetary economics
  • Central banking

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Article
Publication date: 1 June 2015

Explaining the internet usage of SMEs: The impact of market orientation, behavioural norms, motivation and technology acceptance

Marjolein C. J. Caniëls, Heidi K. L. Lenaerts and Cees J. Gelderman

Small to mid-sized enterprises (SMEs) are underrepresented in market orientation and internet-related research. Yet, marketing-related issues represent some of the most…

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Purpose

Small to mid-sized enterprises (SMEs) are underrepresented in market orientation and internet-related research. Yet, marketing-related issues represent some of the most important problems for SMEs. The purpose of this paper is to explain why SMEs use the internet in business processes and to explore the relationship between market orientation and internet usage.

Design/methodology/approach

The study amalgamates the technology acceptance model, the motivation model and the integrated model of technology acceptance into one model. Hypotheses are tested with survey data from Belgian SMEs using partial least squares.

Findings

One of the findings is that intrinsic and extrinsic motivation are positively significantly related to internet usage intention. No significant relationships were found between behavioural norms and perceived ease of use and between perceived ease of use and the intention to use the internet.

Practical implications

Managerial implications include that SME-internet training providers should focus on methods to increase the user’s perceived enjoyment (intrinsic motivation) instead of emphasizing the perceived ease of use of the internet.

Originality/value

Researchers as well as practitioners have stressed the gains from implementing market-orientated strategies in firms. Together with the prominence of studies about patterns and characteristics of internet usage, this calls for studies that integrate these two streams of literature. The study shows in what way market orientation is related to the capability to use internet to a firm’s long term advantage. Up till now the relationship between market orientation and internet use has hardly received attention.

Details

Internet Research, vol. 25 no. 3
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IntR-12-2013-0266
ISSN: 1066-2243

Keywords

  • Internet usage
  • SMEs
  • Market orientation
  • Technology acceptance model
  • Integrated model of technology acceptance
  • Web technology

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Article
Publication date: 2 January 2018

Fears, discrimination and perceived workplace promotion

Zachary Sheaffer, Shalom Levy and Edo Navot

Past research about workplace promotion has focussed on factors that shape employees’ perceptions for promotion. Yet, we still know little about how such undesirable…

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Purpose

Past research about workplace promotion has focussed on factors that shape employees’ perceptions for promotion. Yet, we still know little about how such undesirable factors as the fear of success (henceforth FoS) syndrome and perceived workplace discrimination affect perceived promotion and even less so how this relationship is mediated by self-efficacy and intrinsic motivation. The purpose of this paper is to propose a conceptual framework integrating these factors.

Design/methodology/approach

A structural equation modelling procedure was employed to empirically test the model using data collected from employees in wide-ranging Israeli industries (n=553).

Findings

The path model indicates that initially, FoS and perceived discrimination negatively affect perceived chances of promotion. When however, self-efficacy and intrinsic motivation mediate this relationship, subjects perceive their promotion chances positively.

Practical implications

Self-efficacy and intrinsic motivation may be employed to attenuate the potentially adverse effects of FoS and discrimination effects.

Originality/value

FoS and perceived workplace discrimination are common phenomena, yet the authors show that they may be mitigated by heightened self-efficacy and amplified intrinsic motivation that help in sustaining perceived workplace promotion.

Details

Baltic Journal of Management, vol. 13 no. 1
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/BJM-05-2017-0165
ISSN: 1746-5265

Keywords

  • Self-efficacy
  • Intrinsic motivation
  • Perceived discrimination
  • Chance for promotion
  • Fear of success

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Article
Publication date: 14 November 2016

Inflation persistence and structural breaks: The experience of inflation targeting countries and the USA

Giorgio Canarella and Stephen M. Miller

The purpose of this paper is to report on a sequential three-stage analysis of inflation persistence using monthly data from 11 inflation targeting (IT) countries and, for…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to report on a sequential three-stage analysis of inflation persistence using monthly data from 11 inflation targeting (IT) countries and, for comparison, the USA, a non-IT country with a history of credible monetary policy.

Design/methodology/approach

First, the authors estimate inflation persistence in a rolling-window fractional-integration setting using the semiparametric estimator suggested by Phillips (2007). Second, the authors use tests for unknown structural breaks as a means to identify effects of the regime switch and the global financial crisis on inflation persistence. The authors use the sequences of estimated persistence measures from the first stage as dependent variables in the Bai and Perron (2003) structural break tests. Finally, the authors reapply the Phillips (2007) estimator to the subsamples defined by the breaks.

Findings

Four countries (Canada, Iceland, Mexico, and South Korea) experience a structural break in inflation persistence that coincide with the implementation of the IT regime, and three IT countries (Sweden, Switzerland, and the UK), as well as the USA experience a structural break in inflation persistence that coincides with the global financial crisis.

Research limitations/implications

The authors find that in most cases the estimates of inflation persistence switch from mean-reversion nonstationarity to mean-reversion stationarity.

Practical implications

Monetary policy implications differ between pre- and post-global financial crisis.

Social implications

Global financial crisis affected the persistence of inflation rates.

Originality/value

First paper to consider the effect of the global financial crisis on inflation persistence.

Details

Journal of Economic Studies, vol. 43 no. 6
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-10-2015-0190
ISSN: 0144-3585

Keywords

  • Structural breaks
  • Fractional integration
  • Inflation persistence
  • Inflation targeting
  • Rolling-window estimation
  • C14
  • E31
  • C22

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Article
Publication date: 23 November 2020

Growth and business cycle in Argentina. A long-run approach, 1870–2015

María Dolores Gadea and Isabel Sanz-Villarroya

The purpose of this study is to focus deeply on the short term to explain the relative long-term evolution of the Argentinian economy in the long and the short term.

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to focus deeply on the short term to explain the relative long-term evolution of the Argentinian economy in the long and the short term.

Design/methodology/approach

The study of the long-term evolution of the Argentine economy and identifying the moment in which it began to lose ground compared to other developed economies, such as Australia and Canada, constitutes the central axis of the historiography of this country. However, an additional problem presented by the Argentine economy is its high volatility. For this reason, the long term should be influenced by the short term, an issue that requires a more detailed study of the cyclical behavior and a deep analysis of the relationship between the long and the short term.

Findings

The results obtained point to a cyclical development that influences the long-term evolution and, therefore, explains Argentina’s convergence process with Australia and Canada. Frequent deep busts and short booms characterize the Argentine cycle, offsetting its long-term growth potential.

Originality/value

Although the long term has been profusely studied in Argentina, the short term has not been analyzed to the same extent, which is surprising given the extreme volatility of this economy (Prebisch, 1950). The studies performed on economic cycles have always been partial, disconnected from the long term and carried out without much technical rigor.

Details

Applied Economic Analysis, vol. 28 no. 84
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/AEA-03-2020-0024
ISSN:

Keywords

  • Business cycle
  • Argentina
  • N1
  • E32
  • E63

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Article
Publication date: 3 April 2018

The relationship between authentic leaders and employees’ creativity: What are the roles of affective commitment and job resourcefulness?

Ana Suzete Semedo, Arnaldo Coelho and Neuza Ribeiro

The purpose of this paper is to investigate how authentic leadership (AL) predicts creativity both directly and through the mediating role of affective commitment (AC) and…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to investigate how authentic leadership (AL) predicts creativity both directly and through the mediating role of affective commitment (AC) and job resourcefulness (JR).

Design/methodology/approach

Data collected from a questionnaire administered to a sample of 543 employees have been analyzed. The model was tested using structural equation modeling.

Findings

The findings show that AL predicts AC, JR and creativity. The findings also show that AC and JR predict creativity. In other words, leaders’ authenticity increases employees’ creative spirit and, thus, employees’ ability to overcome obstacles and meet challenges at work and their emotional bond play an important role (mediators) in this relationship.

Practical implications

The results of this study are conclusive and contribute to a better understanding of AL and its implication for employees’ emotional bond, their ability to overcome obstacles and their ability to introduce new and useful ideas. This study provides evidence that organizations should focus on training leaders with authentic characteristics.

Originality/value

This study considers both AC and JR as mediators of the relationship between AL and creativity. Therefore, the originality of this study lies in the integration of these four concepts in a single study to provide a model that depicts the chain of effects between AL, AC, JR and an employee’s creativity.

Details

International Journal of Workplace Health Management, vol. 11 no. 2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJWHM-06-2017-0048
ISSN: 1753-8351

Keywords

  • Leadership
  • Organizational culture
  • Employee behaviour

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Book part
Publication date: 8 June 2020

Learning Idea

Rupert Ward

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Personalised Learning for the Learning Person
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-78973-147-720201013
ISBN: 978-1-78973-147-7

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Article
Publication date: 1 September 2002

Consumer-Based Marketing: The Use of Micro-Segmentation Strategies for Understanding Sport Consumption

Daniel C. Funk

The present data illustrate the effectiveness of utilizing theoretically guided models to develop consumer-based micro-segmentation strategies. The results provide…

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Abstract

The present data illustrate the effectiveness of utilizing theoretically guided models to develop consumer-based micro-segmentation strategies. The results provide marketers with a powerful discriminant function calculated from six variables to profile consumers and make informed decisions regarding promotional content and channel delivery to stimulate processing of marketing communication. The function also enables marketers to carve out casual, moderate, and loyal market segments with 74.3 per cent accuracy utilizing only 18 survey questions.

Details

International Journal of Sports Marketing and Sponsorship, vol. 4 no. 3
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJSMS-04-03-2002-B004
ISSN: 1464-6668

Keywords

  • Sport consumption
  • identification
  • segmentation
  • nostalgia

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