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Article
Publication date: 14 November 2016

Inflation persistence and structural breaks: The experience of inflation targeting countries and the USA

Giorgio Canarella and Stephen M. Miller

The purpose of this paper is to report on a sequential three-stage analysis of inflation persistence using monthly data from 11 inflation targeting (IT) countries and, for…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to report on a sequential three-stage analysis of inflation persistence using monthly data from 11 inflation targeting (IT) countries and, for comparison, the USA, a non-IT country with a history of credible monetary policy.

Design/methodology/approach

First, the authors estimate inflation persistence in a rolling-window fractional-integration setting using the semiparametric estimator suggested by Phillips (2007). Second, the authors use tests for unknown structural breaks as a means to identify effects of the regime switch and the global financial crisis on inflation persistence. The authors use the sequences of estimated persistence measures from the first stage as dependent variables in the Bai and Perron (2003) structural break tests. Finally, the authors reapply the Phillips (2007) estimator to the subsamples defined by the breaks.

Findings

Four countries (Canada, Iceland, Mexico, and South Korea) experience a structural break in inflation persistence that coincide with the implementation of the IT regime, and three IT countries (Sweden, Switzerland, and the UK), as well as the USA experience a structural break in inflation persistence that coincides with the global financial crisis.

Research limitations/implications

The authors find that in most cases the estimates of inflation persistence switch from mean-reversion nonstationarity to mean-reversion stationarity.

Practical implications

Monetary policy implications differ between pre- and post-global financial crisis.

Social implications

Global financial crisis affected the persistence of inflation rates.

Originality/value

First paper to consider the effect of the global financial crisis on inflation persistence.

Details

Journal of Economic Studies, vol. 43 no. 6
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-10-2015-0190
ISSN: 0144-3585

Keywords

  • Structural breaks
  • Fractional integration
  • Inflation persistence
  • Inflation targeting
  • Rolling-window estimation
  • C14
  • E31
  • C22

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Article
Publication date: 7 August 2007

Long memory in the Portuguese stock market

Christos Floros, Shabbar Jaffry and Goncalo Valle Lima

This paper's aim is to test for the presence of fractional integration, or long memory, in the daily returns of the Portuguese stock market using autoregressive…

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Abstract

Purpose

This paper's aim is to test for the presence of fractional integration, or long memory, in the daily returns of the Portuguese stock market using autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA), generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and ARFIMA‐FIGARCH models.

Design/methodology/approach

The data cover two periods: 4 January 1993‐13 January 2006 (full sample), and 1 February 2002‐13 January 2006 (that is, data are considered after the merger of the Portuguese Stock Exchange with Euronext).

Findings

The results from the full sample show strong evidence of long memory in stock returns. When data after the merger are considered, weaker evidence of long memory is found. It is concluded that the Portuguese stock market is more efficient after the merger with Euronext.

Originality/value

The findings of this paper are helpful to financial managers and investors dealing with Portuguese stock indices.

Details

Studies in Economics and Finance, vol. 24 no. 3
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/10867370710817400
ISSN: 1086-7376

Keywords

  • Portugal
  • Stock markets
  • Stock returns

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Article
Publication date: 3 July 2017

Linear and non-linear free vibration of nano beams based on a new fractional non-local theory

Zaher Rahimi, Wojciech Sumelka and Xiao-Jun Yang

Recently, a new formulation has been introduced for non-local mechanics in terms of fractional calculus. Fractional calculus is a branch of mathematical analysis that…

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Abstract

Purpose

Recently, a new formulation has been introduced for non-local mechanics in terms of fractional calculus. Fractional calculus is a branch of mathematical analysis that studies the differential operators of an arbitrary (real or complex) order and is used successfully in various fields such as mathematics, science and engineering. The purpose of this paper is to introduce a new fractional non-local theory which may be applicable in various simple or complex mechanical problems.

Design/methodology/approach

In this paper (by using fractional calculus), a fractional non-local theory based on the conformable fractional derivative (CFD) definition is presented, which is a generalized form of the Eringen non-local theory (ENT). The theory contains two free parameters: the fractional parameter which controls the stress gradient order in the constitutive relation and could be an integer and a non-integer and the non-local parameter to consider the small-scale effect in the micron and the sub-micron scales. The non-linear governing equation is solved by the Galerkin and the parameter expansion methods. The non-linearity of the governing equation is due to the presence of von-Kármán non-linearity and CFD definition.

Findings

The theory has been used to study linear and non-linear free vibration of the simply-supported (S-S) and the clamped-free (C-F) nano beams and then the influence of the fractional and the non-local parameters has been shown on the linear and non-linear frequency ratio.

Originality/value

A new parameter of the theory (the fractional parameter) makes the modeling more fixable – this model can conclude all of integer and non-integer operators and is not limited to special operators such as ENT. In other words, it allows us to use more sophisticated mathematics to model physical phenomena. On the other hand, in the comparison of classic fractional non-local theory, the theory applicable in various simple or complex mechanical problems may be used because of simpler forms of the governing equation owing to the use of CFD definition.

Details

Engineering Computations, vol. 34 no. 5
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/EC-07-2016-0262
ISSN: 0264-4401

Keywords

  • Fractional calculus
  • Fractional non-local theory
  • Fractional parameter
  • Non-linear free vibration
  • Parameter expansion method

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Article
Publication date: 7 August 2009

Fractional positive linear systems

Tadeusz Kaczorek

The purpose of this paper is to introduce a new class of fractional positive continuous‐time and discrete‐time linear systems.

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to introduce a new class of fractional positive continuous‐time and discrete‐time linear systems.

Design/methodology/approach

Solutions to the state equations of the fractional systems are given.

Findings

Necessary and sufficient conditions are established for the internal and external positivity and of the reachability and controllability to zero of the fractional systems.

Originality/value

A method for analysis of the fractional positive linear systems is proposed.

Details

Kybernetes, vol. 38 no. 7/8
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/03684920910976826
ISSN: 0368-492X

Keywords

  • Cybernetics
  • Systems theory
  • Control theory

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Article
Publication date: 25 February 2014

Exact solutions of fractional heat-like and wave-like equations with variable coefficients

Bo Tang, Xuemin Wang, Leilei Wei and Xindong Zhang

This paper aims to apply fractional variational iteration method using He's polynomials (FVIMHP) to obtain exact solutions for variable-coefficient fractional heat-like…

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Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to apply fractional variational iteration method using He's polynomials (FVIMHP) to obtain exact solutions for variable-coefficient fractional heat-like and wave-like equations with fractional order initial and boundary conditions.

Design/methodology/approach

The approach is based on FVIMHP. The authors choose as some examples to illustrate the validity and the advantages of the method.

Findings

The results reveal that the FVIMHP method provides a very effective, convenient and powerful mathematical tool for solving fractional differential equations.

Originality/value

The variable-coefficient fractional heat-like and wave-like equations with fractional order initial and boundary conditions are solved first. Illustrative examples are included to demonstrate the validity and applicability of the method.

Details

International Journal of Numerical Methods for Heat & Fluid Flow, vol. 24 no. 2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/HFF-05-2012-0106
ISSN: 0961-5539

Keywords

  • Fractional differential equation
  • Fractional variational iteration method
  • Homotopy perturbation method
  • Modified Riemann-Liouville derivative

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Article
Publication date: 6 March 2009

Positive 2D fractional linear systems

Tadeusz Kaczorek

The purpose of this paper is to introduce a new class of positive two‐dimensional (2D) fractional linear systems.

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to introduce a new class of positive two‐dimensional (2D) fractional linear systems.

Design/methodology/approach

A notion (concept) of order 2D difference is proposed and the solution to the state equations is given.

Findings

The classical Cayley‐Hamilton theorem is extended to the positive 2D fractional linear systems. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the positivity of 2D fractional linear systems, reachability and controllability to zero are established.

Originality/value

A method for analysis of positive 2D fractional linear systems is proposed.

Details

COMPEL - The international journal for computation and mathematics in electrical and electronic engineering, vol. 28 no. 2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/03321640910929254
ISSN: 0332-1649

Keywords

  • Systems and control theory
  • Transforms

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Article
Publication date: 2 August 2013

Homotopy analysis method for space‐time fractional differential equations

Xindong Zhang, Leilei Wei, Bo Tang and Yinnian He

In this article, the authors aim to present the homotopy analysis method (HAM) for obtaining the approximate solutions of space‐time fractional differential equations with…

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Abstract

Purpose

In this article, the authors aim to present the homotopy analysis method (HAM) for obtaining the approximate solutions of space‐time fractional differential equations with initial conditions.

Design/methodology/approach

The series solution is developed and the recurrence relations are given explicitly. The initial approximation can be determined by imposing the initial conditions.

Findings

The comparison of the HAM results with the exact solutions is made; the results reveal that the HAM is very effective and simple. The HAM contains the auxiliary parameter h, which provides a simple way to adjust and control the convergence region of series solution. Numerical examples demonstrate the effect of changing homotopy auxiliary parameter h on the convergence of the approximate solution. Also, they illustrate the effect of the fractional derivative orders a and b on the solution behavior.

Originality/value

The idea can be used to find the numerical solutions of other fractional differential equations.

Details

International Journal of Numerical Methods for Heat & Fluid Flow, vol. 23 no. 6
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/HFF-09-2011-0181
ISSN: 0961-5539

Keywords

  • Fractional differential equation
  • Homotopy analysis method
  • Variational iteration method
  • Caputo fractional derivative
  • Series solution
  • Differential equations
  • Mathematics

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Article
Publication date: 12 August 2020

ψ-Haar wavelets method for numerically solving fractional differential equations

Amjid Ali, Teruya Minamoto, Umer Saeed and Mujeeb Ur Rehman

The purpose of this paper is to obtain a numerical scheme for finding numerical solutions of linear and nonlinear fractional differential equations involving ψ-Caputo derivative.

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to obtain a numerical scheme for finding numerical solutions of linear and nonlinear fractional differential equations involving ψ-Caputo derivative.

Design/methodology/approach

An operational matrix to find numerical approximation of ψ-fractional differential equations (FDEs) is derived. This study extends the method to nonlinear FDEs by using quasi linearization technique to linearize the nonlinear problems.

Findings

The error analysis of the proposed method is discussed in-depth. Accuracy and efficiency of the method are verified through numerical examples.

Research limitations/implications

The method is simple and a good mathematical tool for finding solutions of nonlinear ψ-FDEs. The operational matrix approach offers less computational complexity.

Originality/value

Engineers and applied scientists may use the present method for solving fractional models appearing in applications.

Details

Engineering Computations, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/EC-01-2020-0050
ISSN: 0264-4401

Keywords

  • Convergence
  • ψ-Caputo fractional integral and derivative
  • ψ-Haar wavelets operational matrices
  • Collocation points
  • Generalized fractional differential equations
  • Quasi linearization

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Article
Publication date: 21 September 2015

Purchasing power parity as a long-term memory process: Evidence from some emerging countries

Mohamed Bilel Triki and Samir Maktouf

The purpose of this paper is to focus on whether the deviations from the cointegrating relationship possess long memory and the fractional cointegration analyses may…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to focus on whether the deviations from the cointegrating relationship possess long memory and the fractional cointegration analyses may capture a wider range of mean-reversion behaviour than standard cointegration analyses.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper uses a fractional cointegration technique to test the purchasing power parity (PPP).

Findings

The authors found that PPP held, but very weakly, in the long run between the Argentine, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Indonesia, Korea, Mexico, Thailand and Venezuela and US exchange rate during our floating exchange rate period but that the deviations from it did not follow a stationary process. Nevertheless, it is also found that the deviations from PPP exists and can be characterized by a fractionally integrated process in nine out of 13 countries studied.

Originality/value

The findings are consistent with the consensus of the empirical literature, reviewed earlier in this paper, on PPP between Argentine, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Indonesia, Korea, Mexico, Thailand and Venezuela and the USA.

Details

International Journal of Emerging Markets, vol. 10 no. 4
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJoEM-02-2012-0021
ISSN: 1746-8809

Keywords

  • Purchasing power parity
  • Fractional cointegration
  • GPH method
  • Modified R/S test

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Article
Publication date: 3 August 2010

Rational speculative bubbles in MENA stock markets

Jung‐Suk Yu and M. Kabir Hassan

The purpose of this paper is to examine the existence of rational speculative bubbles in the Middle East and North African (MENA) stock markets.

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to examine the existence of rational speculative bubbles in the Middle East and North African (MENA) stock markets.

Design/methodology/approach

To complement shortcomings of the traditional bubble tests, such as unit root tests and cointegration tests, mainly relying on expectations of future steams of dividends, the authors employ fractional integration tests and duration dependence tests.

Findings

Despite recent extreme fluctuations of MENA stock markets, fractional integration tests built on autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average models do not support the possibility of bubbles in the MENA stock markets. Similarly, duration dependence tests based on nonparametric Nelson‐Aalen hazard functions not only reject the existence of bubbles but also support equality of hazard functions between domestic and the US‐based investors without regard to the rapid financial liberalization and integration in the MENA stock markets.

Originality/value

The reliable results of bubble tests of the MENA stock markets provide domestic and international investors as well as policy makers with invaluable benchmark to better understand the irregular and highly fluctuating stock market behaviors of the MENA stock markets compared to other developed and emerging stock markets. For domestic and international investors, the formal analysis of MENA stock markets behavior including rational speculative bubbles will help them in their portfolio decisions and hedging purposes. Similarly, the empirical results of bubble tests in the paper will be also helpful to policymakers in MENA countries to take actions to improve the functioning of these dynamic markets.

Details

Studies in Economics and Finance, vol. 27 no. 3
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/10867371011060054
ISSN: 1086-7376

Keywords

  • Economic growth
  • Stock markets
  • Middle East
  • North Africa

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