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1 – 10 of over 1000
Article
Publication date: 2 October 2017

Jamie Kang and Tim Leung

The purpose of this study is to analyze the overnight and intraday returns of the most traded American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) of Asian companies, understand the different…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to analyze the overnight and intraday returns of the most traded American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) of Asian companies, understand the different levels of volatilities realized in these asynchronous markets and develop trading strategies based on empirical findings.

Design/methodology/approach

This study presents an empirical analysis on the overnight and intraday returns of Asian ADRs. The authors propose a measure to quantify the relative contributions of the intraday and overnight returns to the ADR's total volatility. Furthermore, the return difference between S&P500 index and each ADR is fitted to an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck model via maximum-likelihood estimation.

Findings

This study finds that ADRs' overnight returns are more volatile, whereas the intraday returns are significantly more strongly correlated with the US market returns. The return spreads between the S&P500 and ADRs are found to be a mean-reverting time series and motivate a pairs trading strategy.

Research limitations/implications

The methodology used in this study is not limited to Asian ADRs and can be adapted to analyze the overnight and intraday returns of other non-Asian ADRs and stocks.

Practical implications

Investors should be aware of the overnight price fluctuations while intraday traders may consider strategies that capture the mean-reverting return spread between an ADR (or an Exchange-Traded Funds [ETF] of Asian stocks) and the S&P500 index ETF (SPY).

Social implications

ADRs are among the most popular securities for investing in foreign (non-US) companies. The total global investments in ADRs are estimated to be close to US$1tn. Understanding the risks of ADRs is important to not only individual/institutional investors but also regulators.

Originality/value

This study provides a new measure to quantify and compare the relative contributions of volatility by overnight and intraday returns. Optimized pairs trading strategies involving ADRs and ETFs are developed and backtested.

Details

Studies in Economics and Finance, vol. 34 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1086-7376

Keywords

Book part
Publication date: 29 December 2016

A. Can Inci

Intraday volatility characteristics throughout the trading week are examined at the emerging Borsa Istanbul (BIST) stock exchange. Using five-minute (and 15-minute) intervals…

Abstract

Intraday volatility characteristics throughout the trading week are examined at the emerging Borsa Istanbul (BIST) stock exchange. Using five-minute (and 15-minute) intervals, accentuated intraday volatility patterns at the microstructure level are examined during the stock market open and close in the morning and in the afternoon sessions. Volatility is highest when markets open in the morning. The second highest is during the afternoon open. The third highest is before the market closes for the day. Volatility before the market close has increased in recent years. These characteristics are seen every trading day. There are also differences: Monday returns are lowest, Friday returns are highest, and Monday morning volatility is highest of the entire trading week. Day-of-the-week and intraday accentuated volatility smile anomalies are jointly investigated using the longest intraday sample period in the emerging country stock exchange literature. Investment companies and professionals can utilize the results for risk management and hedging by avoiding highly volatile opening and closing periods. Arbitrageurs, speculators, and risk takers should trade during these highly volatile periods. Heightened volatility is increased difficulty in price discovery, thus inefficiency. Market participants, exchanges, and public prefer efficient markets. The research presents evidence of trading days, and periods during the trading day, when the exchange becomes more efficient. This is the first research that explores day-of-the-week effect from intraday volatility perspective in an emerging market, and provides useful recommendations in designing risk management strategies at market microstructure level.

Article
Publication date: 1 July 2006

Julia Henker, Thomas Henker and Anna Mitsios

The purpose of this research is to consider whether market wide herding occurs intraday.

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this research is to consider whether market wide herding occurs intraday.

Design/methodology/approach

Using the 1995 Christie and Huang and the 2000 Chang et al. models, the paper tests whether market wide and industry sector herding occurs intraday in the Australian equities market.

Findings

Neither market wide nor industry sector herding occurs intraday.

Research limitations/implications

Both herding measures focus on one specific type of herding, herding evidenced by changes in the cross‐sectional return distribution. Therefore the herding measures are ill suited to capture the effects of period specific abnormally high or low market returns and they can also capture herding of market participants or groups of market participants only in as far as it manifests itself in security specific returns.

Originality/value

No previous studies have considered the possibility of intraday herding in equities markets. Even if there is little evidence of herding over longer time periods, market frictions and inefficiencies continue to be exploited at least anecdotally by traders with very short time horizons to the detriment of longer term investors.

Details

International Journal of Managerial Finance, vol. 2 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1743-9132

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 September 2021

Rodrigue Majoie Abo

Studies on transfers to a more regulated section show an increase in information disclosure and stocks’ liquidity levels. Classical theories suggest that volatility should also be…

Abstract

Purpose

Studies on transfers to a more regulated section show an increase in information disclosure and stocks’ liquidity levels. Classical theories suggest that volatility should also be reduced. This study aims to analyse the long-term effects of a section transfer to a more regulated section (TSE 1/TSE 2) on stock return volatility.

Design/methodology/approach

This study uses an empirical framework relying on two-sample t-tests and panel regressions. These use robust standard errors and control for fixed effects, day effects and macroeconomic factors. The return variance of comparable stocks’ benchmark sample, instead of market variance, is used as a control variable. Comparable stocks operate within the same industry and do not transfer during the sample period. The authors test our results’ robustness using generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity estimates.

Findings

The study’s main findings show that pre-transferred stocks are more volatile than the stocks’ benchmark sample. The transfer to a more regulated section leads to a gradual decrease in the total daily stock return volatility, intraday return volatility and overnight return volatility.

Originality/value

To the best of my knowledge, this study is the first to empirically address the volatility change caused by the stocks’ transfer to a more regulated section. This study highlights the benefits of choosing section transfers to reduce volatility.

Details

Studies in Economics and Finance, vol. 39 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1086-7376

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 17 August 2015

Ping Li, Huailin Tang and Jingchi Liao

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the intraday effect of nature disaster (external inevitable factor) and production safety accident (PSA) (internal factor regarding…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the intraday effect of nature disaster (external inevitable factor) and production safety accident (PSA) (internal factor regarding management level) announcement on stock price in China’s stock markets.

Design/methodology/approach

Using high-frequency data, this study adopts event study method to examine the intraday abnormal returns as well as the volatility of stock price before and after the announcement of nature disaster and PSA.

Findings

First, both nature disaster announcement and PSA announcement produce negative effects on stock returns. However, there are some differences in effects between the different types of announcement. Second, it is just within the event day (announcement day if trading day, otherwise the first trading day after announcement) that the volatility of stock price is distinctly increased by the two kinds of announcement. Third, there are some differences in the impacts of nature disaster announcement on firms in different industries. Finally, there are also some differences observed between the impacts of PSA announcement on chemical firms and other firms.

Originality/value

It is the first time that using high-frequency data to analyze the intraday impact of nature disaster and PSA announcement on stock short price behavior. The results can help us to understand the role of market microstructure playing in the process of stock price formation, especially the stock price movements before and after disaster and accident announcement and the sensitivity to the announcement. The empirical results have important implications for investors when making trading decisions, and for market regulators when setting trading rules.

Details

China Finance Review International, vol. 5 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2044-1398

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 7 August 2017

Geeta Duppati, Anoop S. Kumar, Frank Scrimgeour and Leon Li

The purpose of this paper is to assess to what extent intraday data can explain and predict long-term memory.

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to assess to what extent intraday data can explain and predict long-term memory.

Design/methodology/approach

This article analysed the presence of long-memory volatility in five Asian equity indices, namely, SENSEX, CNIA, NIKKEI225, KO11 and FTSTI, using five-min intraday return series from 05 January 2015 to 06 August 2015 using two approaches, i.e. conditional volatility and realized volatility, for forecasting long-term memory. It employs conditional-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH), i.e. autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA)-FIGARCH model and ARFIMA-asymmetric power autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (APARCH) models, and unconditional volatility realized volatility using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and ARFIMA in-sample forecasting models to estimate the persistence of the long-term memory.

Findings

Given the GARCH framework, the ARFIMA-APARCH long-memory model gave the better forecast results signifying the importance of accounting for asymmetric information when modelling volatility in a financial market. Using the unconditional realized volatility results from the Singapore and Indian markets, the ARIMA model outperforms the ARFIMA model in terms of forecast performance and provides reasonable forecasts.

Practical implications

The issue of long memory has important implications for the theory and practice of finance. It is well-known that accurate volatility forecasts are important in a variety of settings including option and other derivatives pricing, portfolio and risk management.

Social implications

It could be said that using long-memory augmented models would give better results to investors so that they could analyse the market trends in returns and volatility in a more accurate manner and reach at an informed decision. This is useful to minimize the risks.

Originality/value

This research enhances the literature by estimating the influence of intraday variables on daily volatility. This is one of very few studies that uses conditional GARCH framework models and unconditional realized volatility estimates for forecasting long-term memory. The authors find that the methods complement each other.

Details

Pacific Accounting Review, vol. 29 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0114-0582

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 12 April 2019

Nirodha Imali Jayawardena, Akihiro Omura and Bin Li

The purpose of this paper is to examine what the optimal time is in a typical trading day for investors to buy/sell stocks in the Australian stock market.

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to examine what the optimal time is in a typical trading day for investors to buy/sell stocks in the Australian stock market.

Design/methodology/approach

The study mainly focuses on the S&P/ASX200. Each trading day, between 10:00 a.m. and 4:00 p.m., is divided into 30-min blocks. The effectiveness of easily implementable trading strategy to purchase the index in the morning and sell at the close is tested. The study controls for the excess overnight price volatility to improve the effectiveness of the investment strategy. This trading strategy is compared against other 66 possible day-trading combinations.

Findings

The results show that the trading strategy of buying in the first 30 min of the trading session and close off the position during the last 30 min obtains higher returns than other 66 strategies.

Practical implications

The day-trading strategy proposed in this study is very simple and therefore can be easily implemented by investors including individual investors.

Originality/value

To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study which constructs a trading strategy using the J- or U-shaped intraday return pattern.

Details

International Journal of Managerial Finance, vol. 15 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1743-9132

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 21 June 2024

Rajeev R. Bhattacharya

COVID-19 and its accompanying lockdowns were arguably the most traumatic events of our times. This paper investigates the impact of COVID-19 on market efficiency.

Abstract

Purpose

COVID-19 and its accompanying lockdowns were arguably the most traumatic events of our times. This paper investigates the impact of COVID-19 on market efficiency.

Design/methodology/approach

I analyze all publicly traded U.S. equities for 2014–September 2021, using intraday data from TAQ, TRACE, I/B/E/S and Capital IQ and daily data from CRSP, Thomson Reuters, Compustat, CRSP-Compustat Merged Database and FRED, using a controlled contrast between absolute abnormal returns for relevant halfhours versus absolute abnormal returns in control halfhours, measured by the negative of the coefficient of the fixed effect of the interaction between the indicator variable, and as the case may be, ticker and/or time period of interest, in the regression of halfhour-level absolute abnormal returns on tickers, months and interactions.

Findings

Using two separate objective, systematic, independent and ordinal per se measures of market efficiency based upon market reactions separately to key developments and earnings announcements, I find that U.S. equities markets were statistically and economically significantly less efficient during the first two-three months of the COVID-19 lockdowns.

Practical implications

Efficient capital markets provide substantial social benefits and are a sine qua non for the democratization of markets and the protection of investors, and constitute a critical mission of regulatory bodies such as the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the U.S. Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA).

Social implications

The impact on market efficiency provides one critical input into the social cost-benefit analysis of public health policy and that of government interventions in general.

Originality/value

There has been no previous work done on the systematic and objective characterization of the impact of COVID-19 and associated lockdowns on market efficiency.

Details

Journal of Accounting Literature, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0737-4607

Keywords

Book part
Publication date: 2 December 2003

Louis Gagnon and G.Andrew Karolyi

Using intraday prices for the S&P 500 and Nikkei Stock Average stock indexes and aggregate trading volume for the New York and Tokyo Stock Exchanges, we show how short-run…

Abstract

Using intraday prices for the S&P 500 and Nikkei Stock Average stock indexes and aggregate trading volume for the New York and Tokyo Stock Exchanges, we show how short-run comovements between national stock market returns vary over time in a way related to the trading volume and liquidity in those markets. We frame our analysis in the context of the heterogeneous-agent models of trading developed by Campbell, Grossman and Wang (1993) and Blume, Easley and O’Hara (1994) and Wang (1994) which predict that trading volume acts as a signal of the information content of a given price move. While we find that there exists significant short-run dependence in returns and volatility between Japan and the U.S., we offer new evidence that these return “spillovers” are sensitive to interactions with trading volume in those markets. The cross-market effects with volume are revealed in both close-to-open and open-to-close returns and often exhibit non-linear patterns that are not predicted by theory.

Details

The Japanese Finance: Corporate Finance and Capital Markets in ...
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-84950-246-7

Article
Publication date: 25 July 2024

Dongwei Su and Tianhui Hu

We examine the relationship between macroeconomic news and fund price jumps, using high-frequency 5-min intraday data for Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Listed Open-end Funds…

Abstract

Purpose

We examine the relationship between macroeconomic news and fund price jumps, using high-frequency 5-min intraday data for Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Listed Open-end Funds (LOFs) from 2019 to 2020.

Design/methodology/approach

We utilize the non-parametric jump test known as the LM method to detect fund price jumps. In addition, we perform Logistic regression to analyze the relationship between macroeconomic news and fund price jumps. Moreover, we use multiple linear regression to explore the relationship between fund price jumps and subsequent returns.

Findings

The probability of price jumps increases by 22.56% when macroeconomic news is released. Moreover, the returns associated with news-driven price jumps display a reversal pattern, and there is an asymmetric relationship in subsequent returns following macroeconomic shocks. Specifically, funds tend to exhibit lower returns after news-driven price jumps compared to those that are not influenced by news events.

Research limitations/implications

In today's digital age, investors have unprecedented access to a wealth of information through the Internet and various communication platforms. News and market data can be instantly accessed and disseminated, allowing for swift dissemination of information to investors worldwide. However, despite this enhanced accessibility, investors continue to exhibit overreactions or underreactions to new information.

Practical implications

Macroeconomic news release provide crucial insights into the overall health and performance of the economy. By monitoring and analyzing these indicators, investors can gain valuable information that can guide their investment decisions. Furthermore, by fostering a transparent and reliable information disclosure systems, governments can play a critical role in ensuring the stability and transparency of the funds market.

Originality/value

The paper utilizes 5-min high-frequency data from funds and incorporates a comprehensive macroeconomic news information database. These methodological choices enhance the precision and reliability of the analysis, allowing for a more nuanced understanding of the relationship between macroeconomic news releases and fund price jumps.

Details

International Journal of Emerging Markets, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1746-8809

Keywords

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