Search results

Russia wins most from Caspian deal despite concessions

Location:

CIS

Unpicking the Caspian Sea convention.

Armenia and Azerbaijan will import more arms

Location:

ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN

France announced in November that it would deliver armoured vehicles to Armenia, prompting protests from Azerbaijan. The news threatens the tentative negotiations taking place…

Iranian influence will help prolong Yemen’s conflict

Location:

YEMEN

The strikes came after Huthi fighters claimed to have downed a Saudi Tornado jet with an advanced missile. Riyadh admitted “collateral damage” from its mission to rescue the…

Iran and Turkey will compartmentalise relations

Location:

IRAN/TURKEY

As the new US administration seeks to re-engage with Iran, both Washington and Ankara have launched negotiations with Tehran's enemy Saudi Arabia. Iran and Turkey have major…

Tensions on the Israel-Syria-Lebanon border will rise

Location:

ISRAEL/LEBANON/SYRIA

This followed the first-ever operational launch of the longer-range Arrow ballistic missile defence system (initially introduced in 2000), when an Arrow-2 missile interceptor on…

Iraqi measures to rein in militias will be cosmetic

Location:

IRAQ

Meanwhile, concern is growing that Israel is mounting regular airstrikes on Iran-backed militia bases inside Iraq. The conflict against Islamic State (IS) led to the emergence of…

Covert Iran-Israel clashes could spiral out of control

Location:

IRAN/ISRAEL

The incident, which is being widely attributed to Israel, is part of a series of unexplained fires and explosions at sensitive military and industrial sites. It follows heightened…

Ankara and Damascus could clash in Idlib

Location:

SYRIA

Rebels complain that pro-government forces had earlier allowed IS safe passage to Idlib from Hama. At the same time, in northern Idlib, Turkish armoured convoys have deployed to…

Intra-communal divisions will plague post-IS Iraq

Location:

IRAQ

However, the successful fight against IS has not forged a new sense of unity among Iraq’s communities; instead, it has solidified some divides and created conditions for future…

Lebanese ‘dissociation’ from Syria will stall

Location:

LEBANON

Ties have been difficult since Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri reversed his Saudi-inspired resignation on November 4, despite his insistence that it was on the basis that all…