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Russia will opt for caution while Trump settles in

Location:

RUSSIA/US

Moscow's evolving response to Donald Trump's election win.

Congo attack will accentuate peacekeeping challenges

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

This was the deadliest attack against UN-mandated soldiers in MONUSCO’s history, as scores of heavily armed men attacked an entire company. Located in North Kivu’s Beni Territory…

A new US-Iran war will play out in Iraq and beyond

Location:

IRAN/IRAQ/US

The operation, authorised by US President Donald Trump, killed Qassem Soleimani, longstanding chief of the Quds Force -- the external action wing of the Islamic Revolution Guard…

Ethiopia’s widening conflict will extend uncertainty

Location:

ETHIOPIA

In response, federal-aligned authorities have started mobilising regional militias and even armed civilians to bolster their regular forces. Both have raised fears of an…

Haftar’s Tripoli campaign may continue for months more

Location:

LIBYA

Haftar's offensive is his first military attempt to capture the capital, though LNA forces have previously carried out airstrikes on Tripoli. Despite optimistic claims by the LNA…

Egypt will retrench to its 'buffer' aim in Libya

Location:

EGYPT

Haftar’s bid to take control of the capital Tripoli and the rest of Libya ended abruptly in May, after Turkey intervened in support of his adversary, the internationally…

Damascus can choose to deal with Ankara or the Kurds

Location:

SYRIA

Washington supported the SDF to fight Islamic State (IS) in Syria. Now that it is largely defeated, there are questions over the superpower’s commitment. The United States has…

Guerrillas could prompt Turkish state of emergency

Location:

TURKEY

They were responding to increasingly serious attacks on Turkish soldiers and police by Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) guerrillas in eastern Turkey. With President Recep Tayyip…

Prospects for East Africa and the Great Lakes in 2018

Location:

PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for East Africa and the Great Lakes in 2018.

Myanmar opposition cannot defeat regime militarily

Location:

MYANMAR

The NUG announced the formation of a People’s Defence Force (PDF) in May. It urges PDF combatants and ethnic armed organisations (EAOs) embroiled in long-running conflicts with…