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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 February 2024
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Unlike the Wagner private military company (PMC), it is subordinated to the Russian state. The first confirmed deployment of African Corps forces is to Burkina Faso, where it will…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 January 2021
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They have backed opposing sides in the Syrian and Libyan conflicts and pursued different objectives there and in Nagorno-Karabakh, in the hope that conflict trends would benefit…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 February 2020
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Tensions have risen since Syrian government shelling killed seven Turkish soldiers and a civilian contractor in north-western Syria on February 3. Although President Recep Tayyip…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 15 June 2020
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SYRIA: Jihadists face difficult decisions in Idlib
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Executive summary
Publication date: 6 January 2020
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LIBYA: Western omissions abet foreign meddling
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 26 November 2018
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The summit reaffirmed the 2015 Libyan Political Agreement (LPA) and the UN’s Action Plan, with a revised timeline. It also affirmed efforts to unify public finances. However, few…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 December 2019
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The deployment of Turkish troops to protect the Tripoli-based Government of National Accord (GNA) and intervene in Libya’s civil war looks increasingly likely. GNA Prime Minister…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 24 June 2020
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This is mainly because of Erdogan's politicisation of the Turkish Armed Forces (TSK) after the July 2016 failed coup. His fear of the generals, a power struggle within the TSK…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 June 2019
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The evolution of Islamic State's 'provinces'.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 March 2016
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

State fragmentation in the Middle East.

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