To read the full version of this content please select one of the options below:

Erdogan prepares to intervene in Libyan civil war

Tuesday, December 17, 2019

Significance

The deployment of Turkish troops to protect the Tripoli-based Government of National Accord (GNA) and intervene in Libya’s civil war looks increasingly likely. GNA Prime Minister Fayez Serraj met Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Istanbul on December 15. Serraj and the Turkish authorities have created a detailed legal and institutional framework for partnership affecting not just Libya but also Turkey’s disputes with its neighbours over rights in the Eastern Mediterranean.

Impacts

  • A new round of EU sanctions on Libya could be on the way.
  • United Arab Emirates and Egyptian support for Haftar will probably grow.
  • A swift military resolution in Libya is unlikely, with Turkey preferring to deploy air power, including drones.
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica
Stay up to date
Sign up to the Expert Daily Briefings email alert and receive up-to-the-minute analysis of global events as they happen.
*If your university does not have access to Expert Briefings, visit our information page to find out more.