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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 January 2021
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They have backed opposing sides in the Syrian and Libyan conflicts and pursued different objectives there and in Nagorno-Karabakh, in the hope that conflict trends would benefit…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 February 2020
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Tensions have risen since Syrian government shelling killed seven Turkish soldiers and a civilian contractor in north-western Syria on February 3. Although President Recep Tayyip…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 15 June 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

SYRIA: Jihadists face difficult decisions in Idlib
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Executive summary
Publication date: 6 January 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

LIBYA: Western omissions abet foreign meddling
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 December 2019
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The deployment of Turkish troops to protect the Tripoli-based Government of National Accord (GNA) and intervene in Libya’s civil war looks increasingly likely. GNA Prime Minister…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 24 June 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

This is mainly because of Erdogan's politicisation of the Turkish Armed Forces (TSK) after the July 2016 failed coup. His fear of the generals, a power struggle within the TSK…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 March 2016
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

State fragmentation in the Middle East.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 May 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Official figures give Turkey a case fatality rate of 2.7% or 49 deaths per million, well below Western European figures and by no means the catastrophe predicted by outside…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 July 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Rising tensions over the conflict in Libya have produced a severe crisis in French-Turkish ties and threaten to exacerbate strains in Ankara’s relations with the EU. By placing…

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