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Evidence tilts towards Ukraine war likelihood

Location:

RUSSIA/UKRAINE

Western leaders are talking to one another and Moscow in a bid to change Russian President Vladimir Putin's mind -- if he has in fact decided on an attack. If he plans an…

France’s Ukraine position exposes Western divisions

Location:

FRANCE

Despite criticism from Western allies, Macron’s position has remained firm. This comes against the backdrop of tensions with Germany, upcoming European Parliament elections and…

Strategic conditions favour Kyiv over Moscow for now

Location:

UKRAINE

The long-range strike follows one on the same airbase and another on an airfield in Ryazan region on December 5. Meanwhile, Ukraine's President Volodomyr Zelensky addressed the US…

Russia has options other than full invasion of Ukraine

Location:

RUSSIA

This adds little clarity to his intentions on Ukraine. The amassing of Russian forces still leaves ambiguity about the feasibility and desirability of full-scale invasion. US…

Eastern Ukraine faces more months of no war or peace

Location:

UKRAINE

Despite frequent exchanges of fire, the conflict lines in eastern Ukraine remain static as the two sides hold entrenched military positions and are approximately evenly matched…

Ukraine conflict in stalemate as both armies prepare

Location:

UKRAINE/RUSSIA

Western and Ukrainian policymakers have been watching for signs of a major Russian offensive that would satisfy President Vladimir Putin's desire to have something to show after a…

Ukraine's chances of a favourable conflict end recede

Location:

RUSSIA/UKRAINE

The military conflict in eastern Ukraine remains muted, but the breakdown of economic ties, trade, and supplies of power and water makes a political rapprochement look even more…

Frictions with Moscow underline Belarusian dependence

Location:

BELARUS

Disputes about fuel prices, as well as Belarusian concerns about Moscow's treatment of Ukraine, have marred the long-term Belarusian-Russian alignment. As head of the weaker…

US weapons to Ukraine would turn Donbas into proxy war

Location:

UKRAINE/US

However, fears continue that the separatist withdrawal is an opportunity for them to reorganise their forces in preparation for an assault on Mariupol. Poroshenko said that since…

Russia attack looks like all-out, not limited invasion

Location:

RUSSIA/UKRAINE

The invasion started shortly after Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a "special operation" to destroy Ukraine's military capacity and decapitate its leadership, or in his…