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Strategic conditions favour Kyiv over Moscow for now

Friday, December 30, 2022

Significance

The long-range strike follows one on the same airbase and another on an airfield in Ryazan region on December 5. Meanwhile, Ukraine's President Volodomyr Zelensky addressed the US Congress on December 21 on his first foreign trip since the invasion.

Impacts

  • Putin will lead on belligerent rhetoric but not military management: others must take any blame.
  • Putin's latest promise of unlimited funding for the war effort cannot be met under current budget plans.
  • The Ukrainian president's trip to Bakhmut embarrasses Russia's defence minister, whose recent 'front line' visit was far behind the lines.

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