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ATMIS withdrawal may weaken Somalia’s security

Location:

SOMALIA

ATMIS is to leave Somalia by end-2024, with the first 2,000 troops set to withdraw this month. However, this plan has already been beset by delays, and there are serious questions…

Somali security strategy ignores old lessons

Location:

SOMALIA

When his latest term started, the president hinted that he might consider negotiations with al-Shabaab, and he still says he remains open to this. However, following a major…

Central African Republic peace deal needs executing

Location:

CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC

The accord, the full contents of which are still not public, differs from previous deals in that it follows the first direct talks between the parties and because the government…

UN mission faces uncertain future in Congo

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

This followed recurrent demonstrations against the UN peacekeeping mission (MONUSCO) since July 26, which turned violent and left some 36 people dead.

Nigeria's security chiefs may not ease north-east woes

Location:

NIGERIA

Although many recent jihadist attacks have occurred in border regions with Niger (to the north of Borno State) or Cameroon (to the east of Borno and neighbouring Adamawa State)…

Burundi's security outlook will remain fragile

Location:

BURUNDI

The government denounced the attacks as acts of terrorism and claimed to have killed one assailant and arrested five others. However, no information has been released on the…

M23’s return will complicate Congo’s security outlook

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

The fighting triggered a UN helicopter crash and cross-border clashes with Ugandan troops. The M23 is famous for conquering North Kivu’s capital, Goma, during a 2012-13 rebellion…

New deadline dilemma looms in South Sudan

Location:

SOUTH SUDAN

Little progress has been made since then, including on critical security arrangements, and the parties have given little indication of willingness or capacity to end the deadlock.

Congo’s new DDR programme faces old challenges

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

However, the programme is yet to get off the ground, and its preparatory phases have been dogged by controversy.

Unclear strategy may upend Ivorian opposition chances

Location:

IVORY COAST

It remains unclear whether the main opposition candidate, former President Henri Konan Bedie (1993-99), will propose a boycott of the October 31 polls. Meanwhile, the state…