New deadline dilemma looms in South Sudan

Significance

Little progress has been made since then, including on critical security arrangements, and the parties have given little indication of willingness or capacity to end the deadlock.

Impacts

• Continued failure to reach agreement on the number and boundaries of states could prove another major source of tensions.
• Despite a projected return to positive growth after years of contraction, uncertainty and mismanagement will still weigh on the economy.
• The majority of South Sudan’s more than 4 million displaced persons will not return home until there is greater certainty about security.