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Article
Publication date: 26 July 2013

Le Ma and Chunlu Liu

Studies into ripple effects have previously focused on the interconnections between house price movements across cities over space and time. These interconnections were widely…

Abstract

Purpose

Studies into ripple effects have previously focused on the interconnections between house price movements across cities over space and time. These interconnections were widely investigated in previous research using vector autoregression models. However, the effects generated from spatial information could not be captured by conventional vector autoregression models. This research aimed to incorporate spatial lags into a vector autoregression model to illustrate spatial‐temporal interconnections between house price movements across the Australian capital cities.

Design/methodology/approach

Geographic and demographic correlations were captured by assessing geographic distances and demographic structures between each pair of cities, respectively. Development scales of the housing market were also used to adjust spatial weights. Impulse response functions based on the estimated SpVAR model were further carried out to illustrate the ripple effects.

Findings

The results confirmed spatial correlations exist in housing price dynamics in the Australian capital cities. The spatial correlations are dependent more on the geographic rather than the demographic information.

Originality/value

This research investigated the spatial heterogeneity and autocorrelations of regional house prices within the context of demographic and geographic information. A spatial vector autoregression model was developed based on the demographic and geographic distance. The temporal and spatial effects on house prices in Australian capital cities were then depicted.

Details

International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, vol. 6 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1753-8270

Keywords

Book part
Publication date: 30 December 2004

Thomas L. Marsh and Ron C. Mittelhammer

We formulate generalized maximum entropy estimators for the general linear model and the censored regression model when there is first order spatial autoregression in the…

Abstract

We formulate generalized maximum entropy estimators for the general linear model and the censored regression model when there is first order spatial autoregression in the dependent variable. Monte Carlo experiments are provided to compare the performance of spatial entropy estimators relative to classical estimators. Finally, the estimators are applied to an illustrative model allocating agricultural disaster payments.

Details

Spatial and Spatiotemporal Econometrics
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-0-76231-148-4

Article
Publication date: 3 October 2016

David McIlhatton, William McGreal, Paloma Taltavul de la Paz and Alastair Adair

There is a lack of understanding in the literature on the spatial relationships between crime and house price. This paper aims to test the impact of spatial effects in the housing…

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Abstract

Purpose

There is a lack of understanding in the literature on the spatial relationships between crime and house price. This paper aims to test the impact of spatial effects in the housing market, how these are related to the incidence of crime and whether effects vary by the type of crime.

Design/methodology/approach

The analysis initially explores univariate and bivariate spatial patterns in crime and house price data for the Belfast Metropolitan Area using Moran’s I and Local Indicator Spatial Association (LISA) models, and secondly uses spatial autoregression models to estimate the role of crime on house prices. A spatially weighted two-stage least-squares model is specified to analyse the joint impact of crime variables. The analysis is cross sectional, based on a panel of data.

Findings

The paper illustrates that the pricing impact of crime is complex and varies by type of crime, property type and location. It is shown that burglary and theft are associated with higher-income neighbourhoods, whereas violence against persons, criminal damage and drugs offences are mainly associated with lower-priced neighbourhoods. Spatial error effects are reduced in models based on specific crime variables.

Originality/value

The originality of this paper is the application of spatial analysis in the study of the impact of crime upon house prices. Criticisms of hedonic price models are based on unexplained error effects; the significance of this paper is the reduction of spatial error effects achievable through the analysis of crime data.

Details

International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, vol. 9 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1753-8270

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 26 April 2011

Anastassios N. Karaganis

This paper aims to deal with the construction of seasonal price indices for the housing market, based on Rosen's hedonic equations and using spatial econometric autoregression

Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to deal with the construction of seasonal price indices for the housing market, based on Rosen's hedonic equations and using spatial econometric autoregression (SAR) techniques.

Design/methodology/approach

More precisely, the hedonic equations are estimated using disaggregated data, and the extracted indices are averaged over zip code areas. Then the seasonality, which is considered deterministic, is extracted after eliminating the spatial effects. The data set used consists of 8,685 valuations of dwellings, detached dwellings and detached houses that took place in Attica on behalf of a commercial bank during the period 2000‐2009.

Findings

The paper concludes that evidence exists to support the hypothesis that property prices are affected by seasonal and spatial effects beyond structural effects and the effects of the general economic situation. Property valuations are strongly connected with deterministic exogenous variables, such as the size, age and location of the property, the general economic situation, and to a lesser effect the spatial system and the season during which the valuation took place. The estimated spatial effect is positive and quite large in value, indicating a landscape consisting of large homogeneous sub‐areas, while the results demonstrate a seasonal upturn during the first semester and downturn towards the end of the year.

Originality/value

This paper provides a framework for incorporating spatial and seasonal effects in property price index construction.

Details

Journal of Property Investment & Finance, vol. 29 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-578X

Keywords

Book part
Publication date: 30 December 2004

Tony E. Smith and James P. LeSage

A Bayesian probit model with individual effects that exhibit spatial dependencies is set forth. Since probit models are often used to explain variation in individual choices…

Abstract

A Bayesian probit model with individual effects that exhibit spatial dependencies is set forth. Since probit models are often used to explain variation in individual choices, these models may well exhibit spatial interaction effects due to the varying spatial location of the decision makers. That is, individuals located at similar points in space may tend to exhibit similar choice behavior. The model proposed here allows for a parameter vector of spatial interaction effects that takes the form of a spatial autoregression. This model extends the class of Bayesian spatial logit/probit models presented in LeSage (2000) and relies on a hierachical construct that we estimate via Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. We illustrate the model by applying it to the 1996 presidential election results for 3,110 U.S. counties.

Details

Spatial and Spatiotemporal Econometrics
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-0-76231-148-4

Book part
Publication date: 1 December 2016

Raffaella Calabrese and Johan A. Elkink

The most used spatial regression models for binary-dependent variable consider a symmetric link function, such as the logistic or the probit models. When the dependent variable…

Abstract

The most used spatial regression models for binary-dependent variable consider a symmetric link function, such as the logistic or the probit models. When the dependent variable represents a rare event, a symmetric link function can underestimate the probability that the rare event occurs. Following Calabrese and Osmetti (2013), we suggest the quantile function of the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution as link function in a spatial generalized linear model and we call this model the spatial GEV (SGEV) regression model. To estimate the parameters of such model, a modified version of the Gibbs sampling method of Wang and Dey (2010) is proposed. We analyze the performance of our model by Monte Carlo simulations and evaluate the prediction accuracy in empirical data on state failure.

Details

Spatial Econometrics: Qualitative and Limited Dependent Variables
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-78560-986-2

Keywords

Book part
Publication date: 19 December 2012

R. Kelley Pace, James P. LeSage and Shuang Zhu

Most spatial econometrics work focuses on spatial dependence in the regressand or disturbances. However, Lesage and Pace (2009) as well as Pace and LeSage2009 showed that the bias…

Abstract

Most spatial econometrics work focuses on spatial dependence in the regressand or disturbances. However, Lesage and Pace (2009) as well as Pace and LeSage2009 showed that the bias in β from applying OLS to a regressand generated from a spatial autoregressive process was exacerbated by spatial dependence in the regressor. Also, the marginal likelihood function or restricted maximum likelihood (REML) function includes a determinant term involving the regressors. Therefore, high dependence in the regressor may affect the likelihood through this term. In addition, Bowden and Turkington (1984) showed that regressor temporal autocorrelation had a non-monotonic effect on instrumental variable estimators.

We provide empirical evidence that many common economic variables used as regressors (e.g., income, race, and employment) exhibit high levels of spatial dependence. Based on this observation, we conduct a Monte Carlo study of maximum likelihood (ML), REML and two instrumental variable specifications for spatial autoregressive (SAR) and spatial Durbin models (SDM) in the presence of spatially correlated regressors.

Findings indicate that as spatial dependence in the regressor rises, REML outperforms ML and that performance of the instrumental variable methods suffer. The combination of correlated regressors and the SDM specification provides a challenging environment for instrumental variable techniques.

We also examine estimates of marginal effects and show that these behave better than estimates of the underlying model parameters used to construct marginal effects estimates. Suggestions for improving design of Monte Carlo experiments are provided.

Article
Publication date: 17 August 2021

Evgeniy M. Ozhegov and Alina Ozhegova

A common approach to predicting the price of residential properties uses the hedonic price model and its spatial extensions. Within the hedonic approach, real estate prices are…

Abstract

Purpose

A common approach to predicting the price of residential properties uses the hedonic price model and its spatial extensions. Within the hedonic approach, real estate prices are decomposed into internal characteristics of an apartment, apartment characteristics and external characteristics. To account for the unobserved quality of the surrounding environment, price models include spatial price correlation factors, where the distance is usually measured as the distance in geographic space. In determining the price, a seller focuses not only on the observed and unobserved factors of the apartment and its environment but also on the prices of similar marketed objects that can be selected both by geographic proximity and by characteristics similarity. The purpose of this study is to show the latter point empirically.

Design/methodology/approach

This study uses an ensemble clustering approach to measure objects' proximity and test whether the proximity of objects in the property characteristics space along with spatial correlation explain the significant variation in prices.

Findings

In this paper, the pricing behaviour of sellers in a reselling market in Perm, Russia is studied. This study shows that the price transmission mechanism includes both geographic and characteristics spaces.

Practical implications

After testing on market data, the proposed framework for the distance construct could be used to obtain higher predictive power for price predictive models and construction of automated valuation services.

Originality/value

This study tests the higher explanatory power of the model that includes both the distance measured in geographic and property characteristics spaces.

Details

International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, vol. 15 no. 5
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1753-8270

Keywords

Book part
Publication date: 19 December 2012

Monalisa Sen, Anil K. Bera and Yu-Hsien Kao

In this chapter we investigate the finite sample properties of a Hausman test for the spatial error model (SEM) proposed by Pace and LeSage (2008). In particular, we demonstrate…

Abstract

In this chapter we investigate the finite sample properties of a Hausman test for the spatial error model (SEM) proposed by Pace and LeSage (2008). In particular, we demonstrate that the power of their test could be very low against a natural alternative like the spatial autoregressive (SAR) model.

Article
Publication date: 2 January 2023

Kangyin Dong, Jianda Wang and Xiaohang Ren

The purpose of this study is to examine the spatial fluctuation spillover effect of green total factor productivity (GTFP) under the influence of Internet development.

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to examine the spatial fluctuation spillover effect of green total factor productivity (GTFP) under the influence of Internet development.

Design/methodology/approach

Using panel data from 283 cities in China for the period 2003–2016, this paper explores the spatial fluctuation spillover effect of internet development on GTFP by applying the spatial autoregressive with autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model (SARspARCH).

Findings

The results of Moran's I test of the residual term and the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) value indicate that the GTFP has a spatial fluctuation spillover effect, and the estimated results of the SARspARCH model are more accurate than the spatial autoregressive (SAR) model and the spatial autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (spARCH) model. Specifically, the internet development had a positive spatial fluctuation spillover effect on GTFP in 2003, 2011, 2012 and 2014, and the volatility spillover effect weakens the positive spillover effect of internet development on GTFP. Moreover, Internet development has a significant positive spatial fluctuation spillover effect on GTFP averagely in eastern China and internet-based cities.

Research limitations/implications

The results of this study provide digital solutions for policymakers in improving the level of GTFP in China, with more emphasis on regional synergistic governance to ensure growth.

Originality/value

This paper expands the research ideas for spatial econometric models and provides a more valuable reference for China to achieve green development.

Details

Management of Environmental Quality: An International Journal, vol. 34 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1477-7835

Keywords

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