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Article
Publication date: 7 February 2022

Muralidhar Vaman Kamath, Shrilaxmi Prashanth, Mithesh Kumar and Adithya Tantri

The compressive strength of concrete depends on many interdependent parameters; its exact prediction is not that simple because of complex processes involved in strength…

Abstract

Purpose

The compressive strength of concrete depends on many interdependent parameters; its exact prediction is not that simple because of complex processes involved in strength development. This study aims to predict the compressive strength of normal concrete and high-performance concrete using four datasets.

Design/methodology/approach

In this paper, five established individual Machine Learning (ML) regression models have been compared: Decision Regression Tree, Random Forest Regression, Lasso Regression, Ridge Regression and Multiple-Linear regression. Four datasets were studied, two of which are previous research datasets, and two datasets are from the sophisticated lab using five established individual ML regression models.

Findings

The five statistical indicators like coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error, root mean squared error, Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency and mean absolute percentage error have been used to compare the performance of the models. The models are further compared using statistical indicators with previous studies. Lastly, to understand the variable effect of the predictor, the sensitivity and parametric analysis were carried out to find the performance of the variable.

Originality/value

The findings of this paper will allow readers to understand the factors involved in identifying the machine learning models and concrete datasets. In so doing, we hope that this research advances the toolset needed to predict compressive strength.

Details

Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology , vol. 22 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1726-0531

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 20 November 2017

Andreas Behr and Jurij Weinblat

The purpose of this paper is to do a performance comparison of three different data mining techniques.

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to do a performance comparison of three different data mining techniques.

Design/methodology/approach

Logit model, decision tree and random forest are applied in this study on British, French, German, Italian, Portuguese and Spanish balance sheet data from 2006 to 2012, which covers 446,464 firms. Because of the strong imbalance with regard to the solvency status, classification trees and random forests are modified to adapt to this imbalance. All three model specifications are optimized extensively using resampling techniques, relying on the training sample only. Model performance is assessed, strictly, based on out-of-sample predictions.

Findings

Random forest is found to strongly outperform the classification tree and the logit model in almost all considered years and countries, according to the quality measure in this study.

Originality/value

Obtaining reliable estimates of default propensity scores is of immense importance for potential credit grantors, portfolio managers and regulatory authorities. As the overwhelming majority of firms are not listed on stock exchanges, annual balance sheets still provide the most important source of information. The obtained ranking of the three models according to their predictive performance is relatively robust, due to the consideration of several countries and a relatively long time period.

Details

The Journal of Risk Finance, vol. 18 no. 5
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1526-5943

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 January 2024

Shrutika Sharma, Vishal Gupta, Deepa Mudgal and Vishal Srivastava

Three-dimensional (3D) printing is highly dependent on printing process parameters for achieving high mechanical strength. It is a time-consuming and expensive operation to…

Abstract

Purpose

Three-dimensional (3D) printing is highly dependent on printing process parameters for achieving high mechanical strength. It is a time-consuming and expensive operation to experiment with different printing settings. The current study aims to propose a regression-based machine learning model to predict the mechanical behavior of ulna bone plates.

Design/methodology/approach

The bone plates were formed using fused deposition modeling (FDM) technique, with printing attributes being varied. The machine learning models such as linear regression, AdaBoost regression, gradient boosting regression (GBR), random forest, decision trees and k-nearest neighbors were trained for predicting tensile strength and flexural strength. Model performance was assessed using root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2) and mean absolute error (MAE).

Findings

Traditional experimentation with various settings is both time-consuming and expensive, emphasizing the need for alternative approaches. Among the models tested, GBR model demonstrated the best performance in predicting both tensile and flexural strength and achieved the lowest RMSE, highest R2 and lowest MAE, which are 1.4778 ± 0.4336 MPa, 0.9213 ± 0.0589 and 1.2555 ± 0.3799 MPa, respectively, and 3.0337 ± 0.3725 MPa, 0.9269 ± 0.0293 and 2.3815 ± 0.2915 MPa, respectively. The findings open up opportunities for doctors and surgeons to use GBR as a reliable tool for fabricating patient-specific bone plates, without the need for extensive trial experiments.

Research limitations/implications

The current study is limited to the usage of a few models. Other machine learning-based models can be used for prediction-based study.

Originality/value

This study uses machine learning to predict the mechanical properties of FDM-based distal ulna bone plate, replacing traditional design of experiments methods with machine learning to streamline the production of orthopedic implants. It helps medical professionals, such as physicians and surgeons, make informed decisions when fabricating customized bone plates for their patients while reducing the need for time-consuming experimentation, thereby addressing a common limitation of 3D printing medical implants.

Details

Rapid Prototyping Journal, vol. 30 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1355-2546

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 18 June 2020

Mervin Joe Thomas, Mithun M. Sanjeev, A.P. Sudheer and Joy M.L.

This paper aims to use different machine learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of inverse kinematic solutions in parallel manipulators (PMs) to overcome the computational…

Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to use different machine learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of inverse kinematic solutions in parallel manipulators (PMs) to overcome the computational difficulties and approximations involved with the analytical methods. The results obtained from the ML algorithms and the Denavit–Hartenberg (DH) approach are compared with the experimental results to evaluate their performances. The study is performed on a novel 6-degree of freedom (DoF) PM that offers precise motions with a large workspace for the end effector.

Design/methodology/approach

The kinematic model for the proposed 3-PPSS PM is obtained using the modified DH approach and its inverse kinematic solutions are determined using the Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm. Various prediction algorithms such as the multiple linear regression, multi-variate polynomial regression, support vector, decision tree, random forest regression and multi-layer perceptron networks are applied to predict the inverse kinematic solutions for the manipulator. The data set required to train the network is generated experimentally by recording the poses of the end effector for different instantaneous positions of the slider using the concept of ArUco markers.

Findings

This paper fully demonstrates the possibility to use artificial intelligence for the prediction of inverse kinematic solutions especially for complex geometries.

Originality/value

As the analytical models derived from the geometrical method, Screw theory or numerical techniques involve approximations and needs more computational power, it is not advisable for real-time control of the manipulator. In addition, the data set obtained from the derived inverse kinematic equations to train the network may lead to inaccuracies in the predicted results. This error may generate significant deviations in the end-effector position from the desired position. The present work attempts to resolve this issue by proposing a camera-based approach that uses ArUco library and ML algorithms to create the data set experimentally and predict the inverse kinematic solutions accurately.

Details

Industrial Robot: the international journal of robotics research and application, vol. 47 no. 5
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0143-991X

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 18 September 2023

Fatma Ben Hamadou, Taicir Mezghani, Ramzi Zouari and Mouna Boujelbène-Abbes

This study aims to assess the predictive performance of various factors on Bitcoin returns, used for the development of a robust forecasting support decision model using machine…

Abstract

Purpose

This study aims to assess the predictive performance of various factors on Bitcoin returns, used for the development of a robust forecasting support decision model using machine learning techniques, before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. More specifically, the authors investigate the impact of the investor's sentiment on forecasting the Bitcoin returns.

Design/methodology/approach

This method uses feature selection techniques to assess the predictive performance of the different factors on the Bitcoin returns. Subsequently, the authors developed a forecasting model for the Bitcoin returns by evaluating the accuracy of three machine learning models, namely the one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D-CNN), the bidirectional deep learning long short-term memory (BLSTM) neural networks and the support vector machine model.

Findings

The findings shed light on the importance of the investor's sentiment in enhancing the accuracy of the return forecasts. Furthermore, the investor's sentiment, the economic policy uncertainty (EPU), gold and the financial stress index (FSI) are the top best determinants before the COVID-19 outbreak. However, there was a significant decrease in the importance of financial uncertainty (FSI and EPU) during the COVID-19 pandemic, proving that investors attach much more importance to the sentimental side than to the traditional uncertainty factors. Regarding the forecasting model accuracy, the authors found that the 1D-CNN model showed the lowest prediction error before and during the COVID-19 and outperformed the other models. Therefore, it represents the best-performing algorithm among its tested counterparts, while the BLSTM is the least accurate model.

Practical implications

Moreover, this study contributes to a better understanding relevant for investors and policymakers to better forecast the returns based on a forecasting model, which can be used as a decision-making support tool. Therefore, the obtained results can drive the investors to uncover potential determinants, which forecast the Bitcoin returns. It actually gives more weight to the sentiment rather than financial uncertainties factors during the pandemic crisis.

Originality/value

To the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study to have attempted to construct a novel crypto sentiment measure and use it to develop a Bitcoin forecasting model. In fact, the development of a robust forecasting model, using machine learning techniques, offers a practical value as a decision-making support tool for investment strategies and policy formulation.

Details

EuroMed Journal of Business, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1450-2194

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 28 September 2023

Moh. Riskiyadi

This study aims to compare machine learning models, datasets and splitting training-testing using data mining methods to detect financial statement fraud.

3663

Abstract

Purpose

This study aims to compare machine learning models, datasets and splitting training-testing using data mining methods to detect financial statement fraud.

Design/methodology/approach

This study uses a quantitative approach from secondary data on the financial reports of companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the last ten years, from 2010 to 2019. Research variables use financial and non-financial variables. Indicators of financial statement fraud are determined based on notes or sanctions from regulators and financial statement restatements with special supervision.

Findings

The findings show that the Extremely Randomized Trees (ERT) model performs better than other machine learning models. The best original-sampling dataset compared to other dataset treatments. Training testing splitting 80:10 is the best compared to other training-testing splitting treatments. So the ERT model with an original-sampling dataset and 80:10 training-testing splitting are the most appropriate for detecting future financial statement fraud.

Practical implications

This study can be used by regulators, investors, stakeholders and financial crime experts to add insight into better methods of detecting financial statement fraud.

Originality/value

This study proposes a machine learning model that has not been discussed in previous studies and performs comparisons to obtain the best financial statement fraud detection results. Practitioners and academics can use findings for further research development.

Details

Asian Review of Accounting, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1321-7348

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 7 July 2020

Jiaming Liu, Liuan Wang, Linan Zhang, Zeming Zhang and Sicheng Zhang

The primary objective of this study was to recognize critical indicators in predicting blood glucose (BG) through data-driven methods and to compare the prediction performance of…

Abstract

Purpose

The primary objective of this study was to recognize critical indicators in predicting blood glucose (BG) through data-driven methods and to compare the prediction performance of four tree-based ensemble models, i.e. bagging with tree regressors (bagging-decision tree [Bagging-DT]), AdaBoost with tree regressors (Adaboost-DT), random forest (RF) and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT).

Design/methodology/approach

This study proposed a majority voting feature selection method by combining lasso regression with the Akaike information criterion (AIC) (LR-AIC), lasso regression with the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) (LR-BIC) and RF to select indicators with excellent predictive performance from initial 38 indicators in 5,642 samples. The selected features were deployed to build the tree-based ensemble models. The 10-fold cross-validation (CV) method was used to evaluate the performance of each ensemble model.

Findings

The results of feature selection indicated that age, corpuscular hemoglobin concentration (CHC), red blood cell volume distribution width (RBCVDW), red blood cell volume and leucocyte count are five most important clinical/physical indicators in BG prediction. Furthermore, this study also found that the GBDT ensemble model combined with the proposed majority voting feature selection method is better than other three models with respect to prediction performance and stability.

Practical implications

This study proposed a novel BG prediction framework for better predictive analytics in health care.

Social implications

This study incorporated medical background and machine learning technology to reduce diabetes morbidity and formulate precise medical schemes.

Originality/value

The majority voting feature selection method combined with the GBDT ensemble model provides an effective decision-making tool for predicting BG and detecting diabetes risk in advance.

Article
Publication date: 12 November 2019

Sasanka Choudhury, Dhirendra Nath Thatoi, Jhalak Hota and Mohan D. Rao

To avoid the structural defect, early crack detection is oneof the important aspects in the recent area of research. The purpose of this paper is to detect the crack before its…

Abstract

Purpose

To avoid the structural defect, early crack detection is oneof the important aspects in the recent area of research. The purpose of this paper is to detect the crack before its failure by means of its position and severity.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper uses two trees based regressors, namely, decision tree (DT) regressor and random forest (RF) regressor for their capabilities to adopt different types of parameter and generate simple rules by which the method can predict the crack parameters with better accuracy, making it possible to effectively predict the crack parameters such as its location and depth before failure of the beam.

Findings

The predicted parameters can be achieved, if the relationship between vibration and crack parameters can be attained. The relationship yields the results of beam natural frequencies, which is used as the input value for the regression techniques. It is observed that the RF regressor predicts the parameters with better accuracy as compared to DT regressor.

Originality/value

The idea is used the developed regression techniques to identify the crack parameters which are more effective as compared to other developed methods because the alternate name of prediction is called regression. The authors have used DT regressor and RF regressor to achieve the target. In this paper care has been given to the generalization of the model, so that the adaptability of the model can be ensured. The robustness of proposed methods has been verified in support of numerical and experimental analysis.

Details

International Journal of Structural Integrity, vol. 11 no. 6
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1757-9864

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 8 September 2021

Odey Alshboul, Ali Shehadeh, Maha Al-Kasasbeh, Rabia Emhamed Al Mamlook, Neda Halalsheh and Muna Alkasasbeh

Heavy equipment residual value forecasting is dynamic as it relies on the age, type, brand and model of the equipment, ranking condition, place of sale, operating hours and other…

Abstract

Purpose

Heavy equipment residual value forecasting is dynamic as it relies on the age, type, brand and model of the equipment, ranking condition, place of sale, operating hours and other macroeconomic gauges. The main objective of this study is to predict the residual value of the main types of heavy construction equipment. The residual value of heavy construction equipment is predicted via deep learning (DL) and machine learning (ML) approaches.

Design/methodology/approach

Based on deep and machine learning regression network integrated with data mining, random forest (RF), decision tree (DT), deep neural network (DNN) and linear regression (LR)-based modeling decision support models are developed. This research aims to forecast the residual value for different types of heavy construction equipment. A comprehensive investigation of publicly accessible auction data related to various types and categories of construction equipment was utilized to generate the model's training and testing datasets. In total, four performance metrics (i.e. the mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and coefficient of determination (R2)) were used to measure and compare the developed algorithms' accuracy.

Findings

The developed algorithm's efficiency has been demonstrated by comparing the deep and machine learning predictions with real residual value. The accuracy of the results obtained by different proposed modeling techniques was comparable based on the performance evaluation metrics. DT shows the highest accuracy of 0.9111 versus RF with an accuracy of 0.8123, followed by DNN with an accuracy of 0.7755 and the linear regression with an accuracy of 0.5967.

Originality/value

The proposed novel model is designed as a supportive tool for construction project managers for equipment selling, purchasing, overhauling, repairing, disposing and replacing decisions.

Details

Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, vol. 29 no. 10
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0969-9988

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 4 March 2019

Cemil Kuzey, Ali Uyar and Dursun Delen

The paper aims to identify and critically analyze the factors influencing cost system functionality (CSF) using several machine learning techniques including decision trees

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Abstract

Purpose

The paper aims to identify and critically analyze the factors influencing cost system functionality (CSF) using several machine learning techniques including decision trees, support vector machines and logistic regression.

Design/methodology/approach

The study used a self-administered survey method to collect the necessary data from companies conducting business in Turkey. Several prediction models are developed and tested; a series of sensitivity analyses is performed on the developed prediction models to assess the ranked importance of factors/variables.

Findings

Certain factors/variables influence CSF much more than others. The findings of the study suggest that utilization of management accounting practices require a functional cost system, which is supported by a comprehensive cost data management process (i.e. acquisition, storage and utilization).

Research limitations/implications

The underlying data were collected using a questionnaire survey; thus, it is subjective which reflects the perceptions of the respondents. Ideally, it is expected to reflect the objective of the practices of the firms. Second, the authors have measured CSF it on a “Yes” or “No” basis which does not allow survey respondents reply in between them; thus, it might have limited the choices of the respondents. Third, the Likert scales adopted in the measurement of the other constructs might be limiting the answers of the respondents.

Practical implications

Information technology plays a very important role for the success of CSF practices. That is, successful implementation of a functional cost system relies heavily on a fully integrated information infrastructure capable of constantly feeding CSF with accurate, relevant and timely data.

Originality/value

In addition to providing evidence regarding the factors underlying CSF based on a broad range of industries interesting finding, this study also illustrates the viability of machine learning methods as a research framework to critically analyze domain specific data.

Details

International Journal of Accounting & Information Management, vol. 27 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1834-7649

Keywords

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