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Erdogan is on path taking Turkey away from the West

Location:

TURKEY

The Turkish leadership believes that a new US administration may stand back from its predecessor's criticisms of Turkey and be better placed to strike a deal with Russia and…

Russia has the edge in managed competition with Turkey

Location:

RUSSIA/TURKEY

They have backed opposing sides in the Syrian and Libyan conflicts and pursued different objectives there and in Nagorno-Karabakh, in the hope that conflict trends would benefit…

Ethiopia's conflict faces a critical juncture

Location:

ETHIOPIA

The claims were made during a 30-minute televised broadcast apparently from the frontlines of the war; Abiy on November 22 promised to lead the fighting in person. Authorities say…

US-Iraqi offensive against Mosul may begin in mid-2015

Location:

US/IRAQ

The United States has sent 3,000 'train and assist' troops to the country, and passed a 1.6 billion dollar assistance package in December 2014 to provide funding for the Iraqi…

Socio-economic dynamics allow Chad rebels to endure

Location:

CHAD

Their persistence has long undermined the country’s stability, exemplified most recently by the death in April of President Idriss Deby during a rebel offensive. It has also…

Armed opposition disputes threaten Ethiopian stability

Location:

ETHIOPIA

The development was met with silence from the OLF leadership and little fanfare from the government, even though the two sides had been involved in rising conflict over recent…

Nigeria's pastoralist conflicts face more turbulence

Location:

NIGERIA

The notice comes amid rising violence between pastoralists and settled non-Fulani, predominantly Christian farming communities in the south-west. As southern politicians grow…

Modest Russian arms plan may dictate defensive posture

Location:

RUSSIA

Cruise missiles are prioritised in Russia's rearmament programme to 2027, which is otherwise constrained by the prospect of only modest economic growth, making sustained high…

Ukraine's counter-offensive fails to break deadlock

Location:

UKRAINE

Zaluzhny highlighted the problems faced by the Ukrainian military in this summer’s counter-offensive. Kyiv has so far not achieved any of its primary objectives, such as…

Iranian influence will help prolong Yemen’s conflict

Location:

YEMEN

The strikes came after Huthi fighters claimed to have downed a Saudi Tornado jet with an advanced missile. Riyadh admitted “collateral damage” from its mission to rescue the…