Erdogan is on path taking Turkey away from the West
Wednesday, November 9, 2016
Significance
The Turkish leadership believes that a new US administration may stand back from its predecessor's criticisms of Turkey and be better placed to strike a deal with Russia and Turkey in Syria. An isolationist Washington would also lend Turkey more scope to play a role as a regional power in the Middle East. Erdogan is following a new 'proactive security policy', which is speeding up events on all fronts regardless of costs or confrontations.
Impacts
- The West may have to live with an antagonistic and isolated Turkey drawing closer to Russia.
- Erdogan's goals are total and unchecked presidential control of society at home and spheres of influence in Syria and Iraq.
- These would act as beach-heads for Turkish Sunni political influence in the Middle East.
- Risks are growing of a flight of capital and investment and an economic collapse comparable to 2001 could happen in 2017.
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