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Socio-economic dynamics allow Chad rebels to endure

Monday, July 19, 2021

Significance

Their persistence has long undermined the country’s stability, exemplified most recently by the death in April of President Idriss Deby during a rebel offensive. It has also affected stability among neighbouring and regional countries such as Sudan, the Central African Republic, Libya, Niger and Mali.

Impacts

  • Long-standing patterns of armed group growth, operation and decline will persist in Chad and more widely in the region.
  • Chad is vulnerable to more political turbulence based upon domestic factors.
  • Improvements in local development and governance will remain slow.

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