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Hard-line tactics may entrench Congo’s M23 crisis

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

However, the M23 -- the rebel group that dominates current headlines-- remained excluded. This follows a November 23 summit in Luanda that in effect demanded the M23’s…

A solution to the Western Sahara conflict is elusive

Location:

WESTERN SAHARA

The UN and the United States are trying to push for a return to the negotiating table, likely the focus of separate visits by UN and US officials to the region in early September.

West will urge parties to form Kosovo government

Location:

KOSOVO

In the lead is the three-party PAN coalition, comprising the Democratic Party of Kosovo (PDK), the Alliance for the Future of Kosovo (AAK) and Initiative for Kosovo (Nisma), all…

Serbian leader will still try for early elections

Location:

SERBIA

Continuing street protests.

Hamas conflict will heighten vigilance in Seoul

Location:

NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA

These include border surveillance, human intelligence and Pyongyang-Hamas links. Joint live-fire exercises with US forces on October 25-27 were billed as targeting “large-scale…

Gaza ceasefire might avert looming Israel-Lebanon war

Location:

LEBANON

Hezbollah has been trading limited attacks with the Israeli military since October. However, Israel is warning that, without a negotiated deal to remove Hezbollah forces from its…

Russian Spetsnaz will be key to future destabilisation

Location:

RUSSIA

Russian Spetsnaz forces.

China’s defence spending will remain stable

Location:

CHINA

Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…

Ethiopia’s peace may hold but remains fragile

Location:

ETHIOPIA

Hundreds of federal police have entered Tigray’s capital, Mekelle, and a high-level federal delegation has visited to discuss next steps. Limited commercial flights to Tigray have…

US peace plan for Israel and Palestinians to come soon

Location:

US/ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS

Trump has promised a new peace plan for Israel and the Palestinians, knowing too that this is an issue with resonance among US voters.