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Finland will shift to the right following election

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FINLAND

Marin’s Social Democrats (SDP) finished in third place behind the right-wing populist Finns Party. The change in government coincides with a transforming geopolitical and security…

Repeated vote may give Greek premier four more years

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GREECE

With parliament serving out its full term, a protracted electoral campaign lies ahead. However, Mitsotakis also said the election was a “springboard to final victory”: he expects…

Latvia’s new three-party coalition will probably last

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LATVIA

The October 1 parliamentary election gave Krisjanis Karins, Latvia’s first prime minister to serve a full four-year term, a clear mandate to form a government. His New Unity (JV…

Prospects for the eastern EU in 2023

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PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for the eastern EU in 2023.

Russia meddling Ukraine-style in Baltics is unlikely

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BALTICS

Survey evidence on Baltic Russophones’ attitudes to the EU and NATO.

EU is unlikely to change course on Russia sanctions

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EU

The sanctions, reviewed on a semi-annual basis, have now been extended until January 2018, despite speculation about divisions within the EU. This comes after the US Treasury…

Moscow's interference in Europe will force responses

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EUROPE

Russia is contending with the West for influence in Serbia, a candidate for EU membership. For Belgrade, integration with the EU is economically advantageous but like several…

Russia will remain popular in parts of eastern EU

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EU

Polls show strong sympathy for Moscow in Bulgaria and in Hungary as well. Pro-Russian attitudes result in weak public buy-in for Western sanctions in all three countries and…

Power-sharing will hinder reforms in Romania

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ROMANIA

Prospective entry into the passport-free area will give a boost to the Romanian cabinet backed by the Social Democrats (PSD) and National Liberals (PNL). While providing…

Prospects for Russia in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Vladimir Putin is almost certain to run and win, keeping him in power for at least six more years. Neither the war with Ukraine, nor an inflation-strained economy, are likely to…