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Moscow's interference in Europe will force responses

Wednesday, January 16, 2019

Significance

Russia is contending with the West for influence in Serbia, a candidate for EU membership. For Belgrade, integration with the EU is economically advantageous but like several other European states, it wants good relations with Moscow, too.

Impacts

  • Germany is key to setting EU relations with Moscow.
  • Russia will back illiberal, populist-nationalist parties in order to disrupt and weaken perceived enemies.
  • It would take a massive breakdown in relations for Europe to discontinue importing hydrocarbons from Russia.
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