Russia meddling Ukraine-style in Baltics is unlikely
Wednesday, February 8, 2017
Subject
Survey evidence on Baltic Russophones’ attitudes to the EU and NATO.
Significance
Russia’s involvement in Ukraine and the 2016 US elections have raised concerns that it may attempt to sow divisions in the Baltic states between those who speak Russian as their first language and other linguistic communities, to shift the former to a more pro-Moscow position.
Impacts
- Significant Russian-speaking minorities will shape how the Baltic states are perceived abroad, including by Russia itself.
- NATO units being rotated through the Baltics would be well advised to treat Russophones correctly, to help alleviate suspicions.
- The Centre Party’s participation in government in Estonia brings Russophones into national politics.