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Finland will shift to the right following election

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FINLAND

Marin’s Social Democrats (SDP) finished in third place behind the right-wing populist Finns Party. The change in government coincides with a transforming geopolitical and security…

Slovak government is weighing up early elections

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SLOVAKIA

SaS’s departure from government could trigger early elections and bring to power a new government with a less firmly pro-Western orientation that might substantially change…

Austria will be slow to change neutrality stance

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AUSTRIA

Such investment will be spread across key areas including aviation, cyber and ground warfare. Increased defence spending does not point to changes on Austria's policy of…

Repeated vote may give Greek premier four more years

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GREECE

With parliament serving out its full term, a protracted electoral campaign lies ahead. However, Mitsotakis also said the election was a “springboard to final victory”: he expects…

Ukraine’s leadership reset will have a limited effect

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UKRAINE

As with the February reshuffle of the military command, these changes have been presented as part of an effort to ‘reset’ decision-making and improve governance. The president's…

Slovak opposition will gain from government weakness

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SLOVAKIA

Public opinion about both the DCA and tensions in Ukraine is less favourable towards the United States, bolstered by strong criticism from opposition leaders. They will attempt…

Latvia’s new three-party coalition will probably last

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LATVIA

The October 1 parliamentary election gave Krisjanis Karins, Latvia’s first prime minister to serve a full four-year term, a clear mandate to form a government. His New Unity (JV…

War will not significantly alter Swiss neutrality

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SWITZERLAND

The decision reflects Switzerland’s political alignment with the West over Ukraine. However, its commitment to military neutrality has frustrated international partners, in…

Prospects for the eastern EU in 2023

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PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for the eastern EU in 2023.

Russia meddling Ukraine-style in Baltics is unlikely

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BALTICS

Survey evidence on Baltic Russophones’ attitudes to the EU and NATO.