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Venezuelan early election call raises a range of risks

Location:

VENEZUELA

On January 23, Venezuela’s National Constituent Assembly (ANC) called for presidential elections to be brought forward to before April 30. The move has exacerbated an already…

India will be somewhat more open to Chinese investors

Location:

INDIA/CHINA

Jaishankar later told media that bilateral relations cannot be “normal” if the situation at the India-China border remains “abnormal”. The two sides have only partially disengaged…

State violence will embolden Mexico's CNTE

Location:

MEXICO

Protests against President Enrique Pena Nieto's education reforms have intensified since June 19, when at least eight people were killed and more than 100 were injured in clashes…

Ukraine war threatens European climate goals

Location:

EUROPE

The situation presents a major opportunity to accelerate Europe’s clean energy transition, if the EU can prioritise the roll-out of energy efficiency measures and low-carbon…

Dialogue advances but threats mount in Venezuela

Location:

VENEZUELA

Recent weeks have seen some progress toward agreement on opposition participation in National Assembly elections scheduled for year-end -- but this would include only a section of…

Moscow courts danger in frozen Serbia-Kosovo conflict

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SERBIA/RUSSIA

Unofficial reports suggest Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic laid out his ideas for a land-swap deal in a two-hour meeting with Putin in Moscow. Part of the deal, intended to…

Iran can quickly hike oil exports as politics allow

Location:

IRAN

Tehran’s more sophisticated sanctions avoidance tactics and greater willingness to test Washington’s enforcement have substantially boosted exports from 2019 lows. The slow…

Iraq's Kurdistan faces loss of oil-export autonomy

Location:

IRAQ/TURKEY

This threatens to end the KRI's oil export autonomy, handing Baghdad a major victory. The closure has taken 450,000 barrels per day (b/d) off the global oil market, raising oil…

Venezuela talks continue but amid steep obstacles

Location:

VENEZUELA

While there is moderate optimism among European, Latin American and Caribbean countries about a negotiated solution to Venezuela’s crisis, the United States remains sceptical. The…

Libyan oil exports will remain hostage to conflict

Location:

LIBYA

In January, eastern-based military leader Khalifa Haftar forced the closure of oil export terminals in the Gulf of Sirte, causing oil production and exports to plummet by 80-90%…