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EU fiscal reform will be modest at best

Location:

EU

Member states will start to negotiate possible reform of the fiscal rules in October, aiming for agreement by March. The outcome will be vital for spending and tax policy across…

The international strength of the euro will grow

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EU

The proposals identified areas where the euro could potentially become more dominant, such as the issuance of green bonds, digital currencies, and international trade in raw…

ASEAN will fear to resist China's maritime expansion

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CHINA

An ongoing confrontation between Chinese and Vietnamese vessels in the South China Sea.

Conflict risks will rise as Ukraine peace talks stall

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UKRAINE

Slow progress on implementing a peace settlement for Ukraine.

Syrian currency collapse will drive food shortages

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SYRIA

The Syrian pound's exchange rate fell by 40% in the first week of June before recovering slightly. After nine years of ruinous conflict, the struggling economy has been brought to…

China's think tanks and universities set for shakeup

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CHINA

Reforms of China's think tanks and universities.

Iraqi measures to rein in militias will be cosmetic

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IRAQ

Meanwhile, concern is growing that Israel is mounting regular airstrikes on Iran-backed militia bases inside Iraq. The conflict against Islamic State (IS) led to the emergence of…

Post-Cotonou agreement will challenge African states

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AFRICA/EU

The treaty includes joint commitments to improving human rights and gender equality. Perhaps more notably, it also implicitly crystallises the EU’s commitment to implementation of…

Nigeria’s north-east displacement crisis will persist

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NIGERIA

Attacks by Boko Haram’s factions in north-eastern Nigeria have increased significantly in recent months. Ahead of the 2019 general election, President Muhammadu Buhari’s…

EU views of China are slowly converging

Location:

EU

There has been growing convergence between EU member states over the perceived China threat, especially related to economic matters. However, at the same time, EU countries are…