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Tepid international engagement will fail war-hit Sudan

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SUDAN

He called for the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), with which the army has been engaged in devastating hostilities since April, to be designated a terrorist organisation…

Libya intervention will heighten Egypt security risks

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EGYPT

The government faces three security challenges: an intensifying jihadist insurgency in North Sinai; a persistent campaign of sabotage from Muslim Brotherhood-connected underground…

Prospects for US politics to end-2022

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PROSPECTS HS 2022

While neither President Joe Biden nor former President Donald Trump will be on any ballot in the November contests, they will cast a large shadow as both the 2020 and 2024…

Mining rush threatens stability in Uganda’s Karamoja

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UGANDA

However, the highly militarised approach has left almost no room for dialogue with local communities and a new wave of armed violence has emerged, raising questions about the…

Peace foray exposes South Africa’s diplomatic deficit

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SOUTH AFRICA

The mission represented one of the first concerted attempts by African governments to exert diplomatic influence outside the continent but ultimately failed to have any real…

ASEAN institutional headwinds mean national answers

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ASEAN

Outlook for ASEAN's institutional development.

Kenya's primaries may not portend a violent election

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KENYA

After the chaotic and competitive party primaries prior to the August 8 general election, many disappointed contestants are seeking to run as independents across all six…

Ethiopia's national dialogue faces deep divisions

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ETHIOPIA

The process has so far been mired by delays, leadership issues, capacity concerns and, crucially, a lack of confidence among key stakeholders. These notably include Oromo…

Lebanese Hezbollah will avoid post-Soleimani US fight

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LEBANON

Mass popular protests forced the resignation of the previous coalition government and threatened Hezbollah's domestic political hegemony. This comes as the movement leads calls…

Somalia faces political and security transition risks

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SOMALIA

Meanwhile, the government and African Union (AU) have been discussing parameters for a successor mission to the longstanding AU Mission in Somalia (AMISOM). As such, the next 90…