Tepid international engagement will fail war-hit Sudan

Significance

He called for the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), with which the army has been engaged in devastating hostilities since April, to be designated a terrorist organisation. Shortly before, RSF leader Mohammed Hamdan Dagalo ‘Himedti’ issued his own, unconvincing ‘address’ to the UN on X, formerly known as Twitter.

Impacts

• Various parts of the country will suffer further atrocities, violence against civilians and population displacements.
• The need for international aid will increase, but poor security and restrictions by the army-led government will block delivery.
• The two sides would continue to fight even in case of the respective leaders’ death or replacement.
• Both the army and the RSF face fragmentation risks, further undermining the likelihood of effective negotiations.