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Haqqani guerrillas may divorce from Afghan Taliban

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

Moves to marginalise the Haqqani group indicate that it is losing the support of external sponsors Saudi Arabia and, to an extent, Pakistan.

Islamic State declares 'provinces' for PR purposes

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INTERNATIONAL

The evolution of Islamic State's 'provinces'.

New deadline dilemma looms in South Sudan

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SOUTH SUDAN

Little progress has been made since then, including on critical security arrangements, and the parties have given little indication of willingness or capacity to end the deadlock.

Demobilisation will be a long-term challenge in Libya

Location:

LIBYA

Although a ceasefire has been in place since October 2020, very little has been done during that time to integrate or demobilise the many armed forces and groups that exist across…

Leadership losses will weaken ISG in Iraq, Syria

Location:

SYRIA/IRAQ

The elimination of top- and mid-level cadres in US-led coalition airstrikes comes at a time when the group is also suffering serious battlefield losses. The strikes raise…

Somali security strategy ignores old lessons

Location:

SOMALIA

When his latest term started, the president hinted that he might consider negotiations with al-Shabaab, and he still says he remains open to this. However, following a major…

Saudi campaign in Yemen will hinge on local allies

Location:

SAUDI ARABIA

Saudi Ambassador to Washington Adel al-Jubeir said that a ten-country coalition was supporting the military operation, code-named 'Storm of Resolve', "to protect and defend the…

Israeli-US leader ties will be functional but fraught

Location:

ISRAEL/US

This also comes as indirect US nuclear talks with Iran resume in Vienna, despite concerted Israeli opposition. US President Joe Biden is in effect withdrawing the unconditional…

Sri Lankan Tamils’ push for reform may prompt violence

Location:

SRI LANKA

Sri Lanka's stalling constitutional reforms and Tamil politics.

Indonesia will struggle to curb Papua unrest

Location:

INDONESIA

For nearly two decades, the region was administered as two provinces, Papua and West Papua (often referred to collectively as ‘Papua’ or ‘West Papua’). In July, Jakarta…