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Kaliningrad upset warns Lithuania against recklessness

Location:

LITHUANIA

Lithuania announced in June that it was applying EU sanctions to goods going by rail across its territory to Russia’s Kaliningrad exclave. Moscow complained that this violated a…

Georgia risks becoming Russian sanctions-evasion haven

Location:

GEORGIA/RUSSIA

Tbilisi has authorised flights by two smaller Russian airlines, exacerbating fears of the potential for sanctions evasion. That follows the easing of Russia’s visa regime for…

Ukraine war will force tough foreign choices on Serbia

Location:

SERBIA

The war in Ukraine challenges that policy. The West is certain to apply all its leverage to get Belgrade to join Western sanctions against Russia and take a stand on the war.

Prospects for Central Europe and Balkans to end-2022

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for Central Europe and Balkans to end-2022.

Sanctions will reduce Russia’s oil exports eventually

Location:

RUSSIA

In June 2022, Russia booked almost twice the revenue (USD20.4bn) from such exports. Declining oil income poses a serious challenge to the administration of President Vladimir…

Hungary’s Ukraine policy will be driven by pragmatism

Location:

HUNGARY

Hungary’s policy towards Ukraine can appear out of step with the EU mainstream; it opposed the terms of the EU’s sixth package of sanctions against Russia. However, Budapest’s…

EU oil ban will bite into Russia's budget and GDP

Location:

RUSSIA

Oil sales to the EU netted an average USD10bn in March and April; this revenue stream will be lost if European leaders can agree unanimously on a ban. Refined products as well as…

Unity on Ukraine is at risk in EU’s eastern members

Location:

EU

Most eastern EU societies continue to support Ukraine in its fight for independence, back Western sanctions, the EU and NATO, and view Russia as a security threat, according to a…

Western sanctions alter Russia's technology strategy

Location:

INT

The war has triggered unprecedented Western sanctions against Russia's technology ecosystem, with spill-over effects for firms doing business in Russia, companies in the global…

US leadership could firm EU wobbling on Ukraine

Location:

EU

Eastern EU member-states, from the Baltics to the Black Sea, are united in applying existing sanctions against Russia, with only Hungary overtly weakening political unity on the…