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Ukraine war will hurt Turkey’s economy

Location:

TURKEY

The conflict in Ukraine is a threat to Turkey’s economy. The lira has weakened again, which will push inflation above 60%. Ankara has condemned Moscow’s invasion but is seeking…

Fear of Russia mutes South Caucasus responses

Location:

CAUCASUS

Georgia's evolving position on the conflict has been confused: a refusal to support sanctions followed by a sudden application for EU membership. Armenia's moral qualms are…

Gulf economies are on a stable track despite risks

Location:

GULF STATES

The IMF has revised downwards its forecast for Saudi GDP growth in 2024 to 2.7% but raised its 2025 forecast to 5.5%. This reflects a positive medium-term outlook for the Gulf…

Russia has the edge in managed competition with Turkey

Location:

RUSSIA/TURKEY

They have backed opposing sides in the Syrian and Libyan conflicts and pursued different objectives there and in Nagorno-Karabakh, in the hope that conflict trends would benefit…

Cyprus and Aegean rows are cooling Greco-Turkish ties

Location:

CYPRUS/GREECE/TURKEY

Renewed tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean.

Qatar faces difficult balancing act in ties with Iran

Location:

QATAR

Escalating tensions between the United States and Iran threaten to derail Qatar's delicate geostrategic position as a small, albeit wealthy, fish in a big pond. Qatar has much to…

Warring Moldovan leaders look to 2018 polls

Location:

MOLDOVA

The Moldovan defence ministry sent 57 soldiers in defiance of a veto by President Igor Dodon, who favours Moscow and is in constant conflict with the pro-European government. The…

Ukraine war will erode its Visegrad neighbours’ unity

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The war delivered a shock to Europe’s post-Cold War order -- its security, peace and stability. Economically, it marks a turn in global trade relations, supply chains and energy…

Beirut may miss out on brighter growth prospects

Location:

LEBANON

The wage scale law was cast into question when a contentious tax hike law intended to fund it was annulled by the Constitutional Council on September 22, partly on the grounds…

Moldova seeks closer EU ties due to Ukraine war risks

Location:

MOLDOVA

"Ukraine isn't Russia's only target," he warned. For the moment, Moldovan leaders are downplaying, even publicly ignoring, the existence of military threat. Instead, they are…