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Cameroon political rivalries may lead to instability

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CAMEROON

Although many factors explain his political longevity, one key element is his consistent ability to maintain rivalries among powerful subordinates. In part, this is expressed by…

Australia election narrows but Labor hopes hold

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AUSTRALIA

Labor still appears the more likely to secure a parliamentary majority but polls suggest a late rise in coalition support among those over 55, men, and in rural communities, with…

Nigeria’s state polls will sustain fragile status quo

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NIGERIA

Incumbents and incumbent parties fared well in most states, and the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) won 15 states while the main opposition People’s Democratic Party (PDP…

Rwanda's structure of power will sustain Kagame

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RWANDA

Basis of power in Rwanda.

Urban centres will challenge Africa's ruling parties

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AFRICA

Urban discontent also contributed to the failure of South Africa’s ANC to secure a majority of the popular vote in last year’s municipal elections. This occurs against a…

South Africa's Magashule will test Ramaphosa's power

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SOUTH AFRICA

Despite his arrest, Magashule has flouted a ruling that party officials charged with criminal offences must stand down. A key ally of former President Jacob Zuma (2009-18), the…

South Sudan faces a rocky road to first elections

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SOUTH SUDAN

The current government’s mandate was meant to end this year. Instead, elections prescribed for 2021 have been delayed to 2023, ostensibly to allow more time to implement the 2018…

Parties hold key to Africa stability, reform prospects

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AFRICA

Effect of political parties on reform and stability in Africa.

South Africa: Mantashe allegations will hurt Ramaphosa

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SOUTH AFRICA

Mantashe has sought a judicial review to challenge the legal basis of any potential charges. The allegations raise a potentially serious political problem for President Cyril…

South Sudan peace deal faces legitimacy gap

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SOUTH SUDAN

Although the ‘transition’ foreseen under that agreement was intended to end with national elections in 2022, the signatories recently agreed to extend the transition by two years…