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Iran-Azerbaijan relations will improve

Location:

IRAN/AZERBAIJAN

Relations between Azerbaijan and Iran have tended to oscillate between distrust and outright animosity. However, recent events and official statements signal that the two sides…

Armenia-Turkey relations improve against the odds

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ARMENIA/TURKEY

The call was a step forward in a rapprochement that has emerged over the last year following three decades of animosity. In the latest practical step in this difficult process…

Turkish-EU relations may move to new stage

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TURKEY/EU

Turkish-EU relations.

Iraqi Sunnis face long-term poverty and instability

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IRAQ

Earlier in his career, US President-elect Joe Biden engaged deeply with post-2003 Iraq, and in the past advocated federalism on a sectarian basis. Although the concept was roundly…

South Caucasus rail revival will bring uneven benefits

Location:

ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN

The two-month conflict between Azerbaijani and Armenian forces has produced a breakthrough in an unexpected area: rail routes providing the South Caucasus with new connectivity…

North-east Syria’s frozen conflict will erode security

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SYRIA

North-east Syria is divided into three zones: Damascus-controlled areas backed by Russia and Iran, SDF-held areas backed by the United States and territory dominated by the Syrian…

Iran and Turkey will compartmentalise relations

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IRAN/TURKEY

As the new US administration seeks to re-engage with Iran, both Washington and Ankara have launched negotiations with Tehran's enemy Saudi Arabia. Iran and Turkey have major…

Baku will resist a quick peace deal with Armenia

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ARMENIA

The latest round of talks between Armenia and Azerbaijan in Geneva on March 22 ended without any concrete progress on negotiations over a bilateral peace agreement. The meeting…

Russia will lose more influence in the South Caucasus

Location:

SOUTH CAUCASUS

Azerbaijan’s recapture of the Nagorno-Karabakh region signalled a new era in Russia’s foreign policy towards the South Caucasus. Distracted by its war in Ukraine, Moscow is no…

Russia and Iran likely to complete direct rail route

Location:

RUSSIA/IRAN

Sanctions have constrained east-west transit through Russia and revived its interest in north-south connections to Gulf ports and India. Moscow and Tehran, each keen to circumvent…