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Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 April 2024
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Following an extension of the state of emergency in February, new army offensives, including around the regional capital, Bahir Dar, have intensified the conflict. Reports of…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286204

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 November 2023
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This comes amid escalating turbulence in Tigray’s internal political dynamics, and worsening armed conflict between Amhara rebels and the federal army.

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283070

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Executive summary
Publication date: 7 November 2023
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ETHIOPIA: Tensions will rise over referendum

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES283207

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Executive summary
Publication date: 21 November 2022
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TURKEY/SYRIA: Rising fears of Turkish incursion

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES274150

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Turkey
Syria
ME/NAF
Iraq
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defence
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 August 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

This followed recurrent demonstrations against the UN peacekeeping mission (MONUSCO) since July 26, which turned violent and left some 36 people dead.
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Executive summary
Publication date: 17 October 2022
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ETHIOPIA: Calls for calm in Tigray may be ignored

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES273420

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Ethiopia
AF
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 January 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Hundreds of federal police have entered Tigray’s capital, Mekelle, and a high-level federal delegation has visited to discuss next steps. Limited commercial flights to Tigray have…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275143

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Ethiopia
AF
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foreign policy
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 25 November 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Territorial disputes between Amhara and Tigray require delicate negotiations. This will likely delay, and could even derail, the peace process.

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274273

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Ethiopia
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constitution
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Executive summary
Publication date: 23 November 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

ETHIOPIA: Slow withdrawal will stir peace deal fears

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES274227

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Ethiopia
Eritrea
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 6 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Russia is encouraging a rapprochement between Turkey and Syria that does not explicitly include Iran, a key economic and military backer of the Damascus government. Tehran worries…

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