Tigray-Amhara claims may delay Ethiopia peace process

Significance

Territorial disputes between Amhara and Tigray require delicate negotiations. This will likely delay, and could even derail, the peace process.

Impacts

• Tigray's position has become so weak that anything better than Amhara control of the territories may be seen as a victory.
• Fears of Western sanctions and domestic political repercussions could influence thinking among Amhara elites and aid compromise.
• Popular fervour over the land issue will aggravate intra-Amhara tensions, possibly prompting rallies and protests.