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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 August 2022
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Turkey has brokered an agreement between Russia and Ukraine for resuming grain shipments through the Black Sea which, if it sticks, will be a substantial diplomatic win for Ankara…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 February 2021
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The ‘exploratory’ meeting is the first between the NATO partners since 2016. It follows months of sabre-rattling in the Eastern Mediterranean, and takes place against the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 September 2015
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Prospects for the Middle East in the fourth quarter.
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Executive summary
Publication date: 23 June 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

GULF STATES: Libya fault lines will deepen division
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 December 2019
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The deployment of Turkish troops to protect the Tripoli-based Government of National Accord (GNA) and intervene in Libya’s civil war looks increasingly likely. GNA Prime Minister…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 November 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The move reflects Turkey's failure to contain advances by the Moscow-backed Damascus government. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has engaged in multiple military adventures in the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 December 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The 2021 presidential programme forecast domestic content in defence projects reaching 71% and arms exports tripling to USD6.2bn. However, that was before Washington banned export…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 January 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The previous day, the foreign ministers of the United Kingdom, France, Germany and Italy -- in an unusual show of unity --rejected the Turkish intervention and also called for an…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 May 2021
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Uncertainty about whether Moscow will lift its suspension of flights from June 1 is discouraging Russian tourism into mid-summer. Turkey’s growing defence ties with Ukraine, its…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 July 2020
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Rising tensions over the conflict in Libya have produced a severe crisis in French-Turkish ties and threaten to exacerbate strains in Ankara’s relations with the EU. By placing…

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