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Mali will probably test ECOWAS resolve again

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MALI

Formally, the sanctions were removed because Mali’s military-dominated transitional government promulgated a new electoral law as well as a new 24-month transition timetable. The…

Deterioration in Turkish-US ties could spiral

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TURKEY/US

The announcement was swift, near-identical retaliation for the US Ankara embassy’s suspension of visa services, after the arrest of a Turkish member of the US Istanbul consulate's…

Washington will be flexible on its Myanmar sanctions

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MYANMAR/US

The Treasury Department soon after activated one provision of the EO by designating ten individuals in the Myanmar military and three military-linked companies for sanctions…

Smaller trade surplus will keep ruble low this year

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RUSSIA

Pronounced ruble depreciation this year attests to the efficacy of sanctions in disrupting Russia’s external trade. The weaker ruble has already provoked a spike in household…

Ukraine war hurts Russian interests in South-east Asia

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

Russia has in recent years sought to increase its economic engagement with South-east Asia to circumvent Western sanctions and mitigate the risk of overdependence on China. Moscow…

West African coups will challenge ECOWAS's credibility

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WEST AFRICA

At a January 9 summit, the bloc imposed sweeping sanctions on Mali, whose junta has repeatedly sought to sidestep ECOWAS demands for a rapid transition. Guinea’s military rulers…

Niger may be moving towards regional normalisation

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NIGER

The junta has meanwhile released former President Mohamed Bazoum’s son, Salem, as a goodwill gesture. The former president remains detained in his residence.

Burkina Faso junta will resist outside pressure

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BURKINA FASO

ECOWAS threatened to impose sanctions for failure to comply, but has subsequently granted a short although undefined extension. The junta under coup leader President Paul-Henri…

Few foreign investors will remain in Myanmar

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MYANMAR

The United States and other Western powers have imposed sanctions on senior military figures and military-controlled businesses in the light of the February 1 coup. China -- long…

Russian arms sales to South-east Asia will fall

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

Russia is a relatively modest player in South-east Asia in terms of economic footprint, political influence and defence diplomacy. However, its arms sales to the region have…