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North Korea may goad South Korea into limited conflict

Location:

NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA

Pyongyang claims to have tested a new nuclear-capable underwater drone -- Seoul is sceptical -- and North Korea’s foreign minister has visited Moscow. South Korean President Yoon…

Prospects for Mexico to end-2019

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PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects to end-2019.

Ireland will wait until Brexit for an election

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IRELAND

Irish government performance.

The US growth slowdown could accelerate pre-election

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UNITED STATES

Strong economy story stuttering.

Drones will aid emerging nations' economic development

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INTERNATIONAL

In developed markets, UAV consumers or hobbyist operators far outnumber commercial operators, but the usage differs in the developing world. In developing countries, the price of…

Path to Scottish independence will be difficult

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UNITED KINGDOM

Having fallen one seat short of an absolute majority, the SNP will form a government with the Green Party, which also supports independence. After the election results, SNP leader…

Prospects for Turkey in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Fiscal and monetary stimuli and a policy-induced credit boom have combined with the broad normalisation of social life to contain COVID-19's impact on economic output. However…

Turkey’s 2023 elections will drive Greek relations

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GREECE

Just after the missile was tested on October 18 in a launch over the Black Sea, Erdogan said it was a “message” to Turkey’s adversaries. The Tayfun's 560-kilometre range, twice…

US peace plan for Israel and Palestinians to come soon

Location:

US/ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS

Trump has promised a new peace plan for Israel and the Palestinians, knowing too that this is an issue with resonance among US voters.

Ethiopian reforms will open little new political space

Location:

ETHIOPIA

Ethiopia's protests.