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Bolivia’s Morales will survive ICJ disappointment

Location:

BOLIVIA/CHILE

A victory at The Hague would have enhanced President Evo Morales’s political standing ahead of his re-election bid next year. By the same token, Chilean President Sebastian Pinera…

Turkey's counterterrorism policy risks more violence

Location:

TURKEY

The meeting follows Turkey's launch of military strikes on July 24 against Islamic State group (ISG) in northern Syria and the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) in northern Iraq…

No backstop or no deal is Ireland’s Brexit dilemma

Location:

UK/IRELAND/EU

Despite the increasing risk and the implications of a no-deal Brexit, Ireland and the EU remain united in support of the main issue preventing a Brexit deal, the backstop.

Northern Yemeni civilians face new suffering

Location:

YEMEN

Troops associated with the Saudi-led coalition backing the internationally-recognised government of President Abd Rabbu Mansur Hadi have in recent weeks moved rapidly towards…

Prospects for the Middle East in the third quarter

Location:

PROSPECTS 2015 Q3

Prospects for the Middle East in the third quarter.

Yemeni fighting could spike ahead of Gulf drawdown

Location:

YEMEN

This comes after a surge in fighting across multiple fronts in February and March. Conflict actors are trying to improve their positions ahead of future negotiations, in the…

Ethiopia and Eritrea face complex path to peace

Location:

ETHIOPIA/ERITREA

Isaias’s announcement follows Ethiopia’s June 5 offer to implement unconditionally the 2000 peace agreement that purportedly ended the 1998-2000 border war between them. Any…

Afghanistan-Pakistan hostility will increase

Location:

AFGHANISTAN/PAKISTAN

Cross-border tensions between Afghanistan and Pakistan.

Engaging more Yemen actors may marginally help talks

Location:

YEMEN

This follows a new wave of Huthi attacks on Saudi territory on November 20, and also coincides with an upsurge in fighting on the Marib, Ta'izz and Hodeida fronts. The escalation…

War in Ukraine will lend timid boost to EU enlargement

Location:

BALKANS/EU

The Ukraine crisis could give a spur to EU enlargement following years of near-stagnation. However, the immediate implications for the Western Balkans, whose accession has been…