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Engaging more Yemen actors may marginally help talks

Wednesday, November 24, 2021

Significance

This follows a new wave of Huthi attacks on Saudi territory on November 20, and also coincides with an upsurge in fighting on the Marib, Ta'izz and Hodeida fronts. The escalation presents a challenge for new UN Special Envoy Hans Grundberg, who has launched a fresh push for peace.

Impacts

  • A continued stalemate will perpetuate economic deprivation and exposure to violence for most of the population.
  • Military factions’ efforts to control humanitarian aid will further alienate funders and worsen suffering.
  • Consultation with forces such as tribes and professional associations may help to make talks address deeper challenges facing civilians.
  • Inclusion of ‘civil society’, defined as a discrete entity, risks creating distorted incentives and fake organisations.
  • Saudi Arabia will increase pressure on southern separatist leader Aidrous al-Zubaidi to cooperate with the Aden-based government.
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