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KwaZulu-Natal instability weakens South African state

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SOUTH AFRICA

The incarceration of former President Jacob Zuma sparked looting, destruction of critical infrastructure and denial of strategic communication routes. Inter-communal…

Key challenges to redefine Mexico’s political balance

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MEXICO

A January 18 Reforma survey showed President Enrique Pena Nieto’s popular approval rating to have plummeted to 12%, from 24% in December. With US President Donald Trump’s first…

Hurricane Otis will have lasting impact in Mexico

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MEXICO

It was the most formidable Pacific storm to hit Mexico in at least 30 years, and took both the government and the population largely by surprise. Disaster risk analysis firm Enki…

Albanian opposition will struggle to make headway

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ALBANIA

The cost-of-living crisis in Albania and PS’s declining appeal should help the opposition make significant gains in the local elections scheduled for next May. However, PD’s…

Turkey's Kurds will be angry if HDP is not re-elected

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TURKEY

The process looks in danger. Serious local conflicts in south-eastern Turkey are straining tensions between Kurds and the government, even though guerrilla warfare has not…

Disunity among critics will aid South Sudan government

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SOUTH SUDAN

Two years after the peace agreement, South Sudan is still at war -- and political, security, humanitarian and economic conditions are dire. Nevertheless, the balance of power…

Buhari offers few answers to Nigeria's economic woes

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NIGERIA

While Buhari is likely to largely follow his previous term’s economic agenda, a squeezed fiscal space, including sizable debt service payments, will test the ability of the ruling…

Mozambique-Tanzania border insecurity likely to worsen

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MOZAMBIQUE/TANZANIA

The attacks successfully targeted the Tanzanian armed forces, as well as civilians. The incidents have prompted the announcement of enhanced collaboration on security between the…

Mozambique’s northern insurgency may worsen post-poll

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MOZAMBIQUE

Ahead of the October 15 general election, attacks by insurgents in Cabo Delgado have persisted, hindering campaigning in the province and raising fears over election-day security…

Nigerian insecurity could worsen after polls

Location:

NIGERIA

Attacks by Boko Haram’s two factions pose the greatest immediate danger, but insecurity from banditry in Zamfara and Sokoto states and inter-communal conflicts across much of the…