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Disputed Venezuela election leaves uncertain future

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VENEZUELA

Maduro appears to be consolidating power, but much may happen before the January 2025 inauguration. Washington is walking back from incautious, early recognition of opposition…

Immigration will make Irish election a tight race

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IRELAND

Polls have narrowed considerably in the last six months, with the opposition Sinn Fein (SF) losing support due to its ambiguous position on immigration. SF, Fine Gael (FG) and…

Russia’s Northern Fleet will struggle to modernise

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RUSSIA

It provides access to the North Atlantic and beyond, as well as the strategically important Arctic Ocean and the Northern Sea Route. The fleet plays a key role in projecting…

Uganda’s president may fear wider protests

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UGANDA

The legislature has faced months of public scrutiny due to wasteful expenditures and graft. Previously, discontent was expressed through social media campaigns, but the recent…

Republican National Convention reflects Trump strength

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US

With primary elections now determining presidential candidates, party conventions, which originally played that role, have become carefully managed events designed to focus media…

Power price increases will ease subsidies in Nigeria

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NIGERIA

The prices now stand at NGN206.8 (USD0.14) per kilowatt-hour from an original price of NGN66.0 per kilowatt-hour. The price increases are intended to help reduce federal…

Kenya’s president and protesters face reform challenge

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KENYA

Those protests initially focused on the controversial new Finance Bill 2024, which President William Ruto subsequently withdrew, but have since morphed into calls for Ruto to…

Slower US consumption is a key global vulnerability

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US

They worry about a cooling labour market and continuing high prices and interest rates. They express less certainty about their family finances and say they will be more cautious…

Broken but not destroyed, Palestinian Hamas fights on

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PALESTINIANS

Hamas has suffered significant losses of leadership, personnel, infrastructure and capabilities. The group was also dealt a symbolic blow with the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh…

Budget will be a major test for new French government

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FRANCE

Barnier says he will appoint his cabinet next week. The cabinet must be then approved by parliament. Barnier’s government will not have a parliamentary majority and will depend on…