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Bosnian Serbs are unlikely to seek independence yet

Location:

BOSNIA-HERCEGOVINA

The move followed changes to the Bosnia-Hercegovina (BiH) election law, aimed at enhancing electoral transparency, imposed by High Representative Christian Schmidt. RS President…

Saudi Arabia's foreign policy will avoid controversy

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SAUDI ARABIA

Saudi Arabia will use the summit to underline its regional leadership, with a foreign policy posture that has been increasingly less confrontational since 2020. This reflects the…

The EU will encounter obstacles in the South Caucasus

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CAUCASUS

This follows years of the region being regarded as of peripheral interest to Brussels. Nonetheless, relations have not always been smooth.

Palestinians will resist US downgrading of refugees

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PALESTINIANS

The meeting took place on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly, which Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas addressed yesterday, calling on the United States to reverse its aid…

Israel’s new unity will depend on the Gaza war

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ISRAEL

Israeli society has been transfixed by the psychological impact of the daily hostage releases since November 24, heavily engaging with each family and fearing for those excluded…

Afghan security is likely to deteriorate in 2017

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AFGHANISTAN

Outlook for Afghanistan's security in 2017.

Abu Dhabi seeks ‘smart power’ in the Horn of Africa

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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

The move risks further exacerbating poor relations with Somalia. The UAE has a long-term commercial interest in the Somaliland port of Berbera, previously planned to include…

Global jihadi rivalries may weaken media message

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INTERNATIONAL

Al-Qaida (AQ) and ISG use propaganda to shape public opinion, increase fear and project strength, and to affect perceptions about their strategic goals. Their media output has…

Engaging more Yemen actors may marginally help talks

Location:

YEMEN

This follows a new wave of Huthi attacks on Saudi territory on November 20, and also coincides with an upsurge in fighting on the Marib, Ta'izz and Hodeida fronts. The escalation…

Russia attack looks like all-out, not limited invasion

Location:

RUSSIA/UKRAINE

The invasion started shortly after Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a "special operation" to destroy Ukraine's military capacity and decapitate its leadership, or in his…