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Book part
Publication date: 4 December 2018

Indranarain Ramlall

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Understanding Financial Stability
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-78756-834-1

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Book part
Publication date: 4 December 2018

Indranarain Ramlall

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Understanding Financial Stability
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-78756-834-1

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Book part
Publication date: 9 February 2004

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Economic Complexity
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-0-44451-433-2

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Book part
Publication date: 18 January 2022

Kajal Lahiri, Huaming Peng and Xuguang Simon Sheng

From the standpoint of a policy maker who has access to a number of expert forecasts, the uncertainty of a combined or ensemble forecast should be interpreted as that of a typical…

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From the standpoint of a policy maker who has access to a number of expert forecasts, the uncertainty of a combined or ensemble forecast should be interpreted as that of a typical forecaster randomly drawn from the pool. This uncertainty formula should incorporate forecaster discord, as justified by (i) disagreement as a component of combined forecast uncertainty, (ii) the model averaging literature, and (iii) central banks’ communication of uncertainty via fan charts. Using new statistics to test for the homogeneity of idiosyncratic errors under the joint limits with both T and n approaching infinity simultaneously, the authors find that some previously used measures can significantly underestimate the conceptually correct benchmark forecast uncertainty.

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Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-80262-062-7

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Book part
Publication date: 22 August 2023

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Urban Planning for the City of the Future
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-80455-216-2

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Book part
Publication date: 13 March 2023

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Advances in Accounting Behavioral Research
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-80455-798-3

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Book part
Publication date: 21 October 2019

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International Business in a VUCA World: The Changing Role of States and Firms
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-83867-256-0

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Book part
Publication date: 2 December 2019

Frank Fitzpatrick

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Understanding Intercultural Interaction: An Analysis of Key Concepts
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-83867-397-0

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Publication date: 24 April 2023

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Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Methodology in Empirical Applications
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-83753-212-4

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Publication date: 2 September 2020

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Contemporary Issues in Business Economics and Finance
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-83909-604-4

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