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Article
Publication date: 30 July 2024

Eran Rubin, Alicia Iriberri and Emmanuel Ayaburi

We analyze the role of trust as a driver of speculative investment decisions in technology firms.

Abstract

Purpose

We analyze the role of trust as a driver of speculative investment decisions in technology firms.

Design/methodology/approach

Structural Equation Modeling analysis in the context of blockchain technology supports our hypotheses.

Findings

Our findings indicate that a general propensity to trust technology leads to trusting beliefs in a service based on technology and that trusting beliefs in a technological service leads to a higher propensity to invest in any firm associated with that service. In addition, we show that in a non-technological context, there is no evidence for such an effect of trusting beliefs in a service on investment decisions. These results support the notion that trusting beliefs are facilitators of speculative investment in technology firms.

Research limitations/implications

The research advances knowledge about the influence of trust in technology on investment decisions; its findings can help build new theoretical models regarding investment decisions using Fintech.

Practical implications

For investors, it is important to realize the potential bias identified in this study, so they can actively avoid adhering to it, thus avoiding exposure to unnecessary risk. Further, beyond individual investors, investment firms take active measures to avoid biases in their own decision-making. Banks and investment firms can help guide their clients about trust-based bias when building their investment portfolio.

Originality/value

Although trust in information systems has been studied extensively, research on the relationship between trust in technology and decisions to invest in technology-related firms is limited.

Details

International Journal of Bank Marketing, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0265-2323

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 21 November 2023

Rahman Ullah Khan, Karim Ullah and Muhammad Atiq

This study aims to synthesize the existing literature with insights gained from interviews conducted with regulatory experts. The objective is to analyse the challenges associated…

Abstract

Purpose

This study aims to synthesize the existing literature with insights gained from interviews conducted with regulatory experts. The objective is to analyse the challenges associated with incorporating cryptocurrencies into regulatory frameworks and to explore constraints in the regulatory institutionalization of cryptocurrencies.

Design/methodology/approach

The study methodology consists of two steps. The first step is to identify regulatory constraints in the literature review and in the next step, interviews are conducted with officials of the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP). The study used a qualitative case study methodology, in which a single case (regulatory constraint) was selected as a unit of analysis.

Findings

The findings show that lack of traceability, legal status, lack of governmental control due to decentralization, difficulty enforcing laws, volatility, lack of skills with regulators and difficulty integrating cryptocurrencies into the current financial system are the main obstacles to the introduction of a regulatory framework. Thus, on a broader conceptual level, the findings can be grouped into opportunism, lack of strategic capability and fragmented global laws.

Research limitations/implications

This study could inform global cryptocurrency regulation discussions, sharing a developing country’s views on balancing the government, central banks, the financial sector and public interests. This could guide countries to consider cryptocurrency adoption in similar situations. This could affect the cryptocurrency market, impacting demand, supply and investor trust in Pakistan.

Practical implications

The study has implications for policy making officials. The research aims to offer valuable insights to the SBP and other regulatory authorities, helping them identify potential risks and create an effective regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies.

Social implications

The study has implications for society in knowing about the volatile nature of cryptos and anonymity of their issuers, which poses regulatory constraints. This then implies its harmfullness to its traders and the huge losses that may arise from their trading due to its volatile nature.

Originality/value

This study contributes to the literature on the constraints, responsibilities and consultation framework of cryptocurrency regulations.

Details

Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, vol. 16 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1755-4179

Keywords

Book part
Publication date: 27 September 2024

Thammarak Moenjak

This chapter first reviews some of the background concepts on central bank digital currency (CBDC) to provide a broad context, before diving into wholesale CBDC often a starting…

Abstract

This chapter first reviews some of the background concepts on central bank digital currency (CBDC) to provide a broad context, before diving into wholesale CBDC often a starting point for central banks to build CBDC prototypes based on distributed ledger technology (DLT), as it involves less complexity in experimentation. This chapter also examines cross-border CBDC, often an extension of wholesale CBDC prototypes based on DLT. The next chapter will then discuss retail CBDC as well as the prospects of economy-wide roll out of CBDC going forward.

Article
Publication date: 6 September 2024

Mauricio Garita, Celso Fernando Cerezo Bregni and Rodrigo Asturias

The purpose of this academic paper is to analyze Argentina’s inflationary situation through an understanding of its monetary policy over the years, and to identify its effect on…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this academic paper is to analyze Argentina’s inflationary situation through an understanding of its monetary policy over the years, and to identify its effect on the country’s poverty, explaining the relationship between fiat currencies and stable currencies.

Design/methodology/approach

By analyzing the case of Argentina through descriptive methodology, the authors provide information on the use of stable currencies in Argentina and the reasons behind their use.

Findings

Through descriptive research, the authors were able to find out the situation regarding the use of stable currencies in Argentina. We identified how the country’s monetary policy has affected inflation and thus purchasing power parity.

Research limitations/implications

Given that cryptocurrency information is based on privacy, there are certain arguments that must be referred through qualitative aspects.

Practical implications

The importance of stablecoins in high inflation countries.

Social implications

The understanding on how cryptocurrencies are able to maintain purchasing power and help avoid inflation related poverty.

Originality/value

Discussion of cryptocurrency items, specifically stablecoins, has been limited due to their recent emergence and the existing discussion about their legality. The study presents an argument on the use of stablecoins by presenting a case that has not yet been studied.

Details

Journal of Strategy and Management, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1755-425X

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 27 August 2024

Amrinder Singh, Shrawan Kumar Trivedi, Sriranga Vishnu, Harigaran T. and Justin Zuopeng Zhang

The trend among the financial investors to integrate cryptocurrencies, the very first completely digital assets, in their investment portfolio, has increased during the last…

Abstract

Purpose

The trend among the financial investors to integrate cryptocurrencies, the very first completely digital assets, in their investment portfolio, has increased during the last decade. Even though cryptocurrencies share certain common characteristics with other investment products, they have their own distinct characteristic features, and the behavior of this asset class is currently being studied by the research scholars interested in this domain.

Design/methodology/approach

Using the text mining approach, this article examines research trends in the field of cryptocurrencies to identify prospective research needs. To narrow down to ten topics, the abstracts and the indexed keywords of 1,387 research publications on cryptocurrency, blockchain and Bitcoins published between 2013 and 2022 were analyzed using the topic modeling technique and Latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA).

Findings

The findings show a wide range of study trends on various aspects of cryptocurrencies. In the recent years, there have been lots of research and publications on the topics such as cryptocurrency markets, cryptocurrency transactions and use of blockchain in transactions and security of Bitcoin. In comparison, topics such as use of blockchain in fintech, cryptocurrency regulations, blockchain smart contract protocols and legal issues in cryptocurrency have remained relatively underexplored. After using the LDA, this paper further analyzes the significance of each topic, future directions of individual topics and its popularity among researchers in the discussion section.

Originality/value

While similar studies exist, no other work has used topic modeling to comprehensively analyze the cryptocurrencies literature by considering diverse fields and domains.

Details

Global Knowledge, Memory and Communication, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2514-9342

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 13 May 2024

Geeta Kapur, Sridhar Manohar, Amit Mittal, Vishal Jain and Sonal Trivedi

Candlestick charts are a key tool for the technical analysis of cryptocurrency price fluctuations. It is essential to examine trends in the time series of a financial asset when…

Abstract

Purpose

Candlestick charts are a key tool for the technical analysis of cryptocurrency price fluctuations. It is essential to examine trends in the time series of a financial asset when completing an analysis. To accurately examine its potential future performance, it must also consider how it has changed and been active during the period. The researchers created cryptocurrency trading algorithms in this study based on the traditional candlestick pattern.

Design/methodology/approach

The data includes information on Bitcoin prices from early 2012 until 2021. Only the engulfing Candlestick model was able to anticipate changes in the price movements of Bitcoin. The traditional Harami model does not work with Bitcoin trading platforms because it has yet to generate profitable business results. An inverted Harami is a successful cryptocurrency trading method.

Findings

The inverted Harami approach accounts for 6.98 profit factor (PrF) and 74–50% of profitable (Pr) transactions, which favors a particularly long position. Additionally, the study discovered that almost all analyzed candlestick patterns forecast longer trends greater than shorter trends.

Research limitations/implications

To statistically study its future potential return, examining how it has changed and been active over the years is necessary. Such valuations are the basis for trading strategies that could help traders and investors in the cryptocurrency market. Without sacrificing clarity or ease of application, the proposed approach has increased performance by up to 32.5% of mean absolute error (MAE).

Originality/value

This study is novel in that it used multilayer autoregressive neural network (MARN) models with crypto-net (CNM) in machine learning to analyze a time series of financial cryptocurrencies. Here, the primary study deals with time trends extracted through a neural network model. Then, the developed model was tested using Bitcoin and Ethereum. Finally, CNM validity was tested through linear regression.

Details

International Journal of Quality & Reliability Management, vol. 41 no. 8
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0265-671X

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 11 July 2024

Nada A. Mustafa, Ghada Farouk Hassan, Mohab Abdel Moneim Elrefaie and Samy Afifi

Real estate projects are capital-intensive and deeply intertwined with economic factors, making them subject to various influences besides local housing needs. This paper aims to…

Abstract

Purpose

Real estate projects are capital-intensive and deeply intertwined with economic factors, making them subject to various influences besides local housing needs. This paper aims to comprehensively understand the dynamics of the Egyptian real estate market, examining real estate cycles, driving factors and their correlation and scale of impact.

Design/methodology/approach

The study conducts a literature review to explore real estate cycles and their driving factors, along with the relationship between real estate and macroeconomic cycles. It then delves into the dynamics of the Egyptian real estate market, followed by a time series analysis that incorporates five key indicators: economic indicator, demand indicator, supply indicator, capital flow indicator and cost indicator over a 12-year interval (2012–2023), to examine short-term cycle factors, followed by correlation and multi-linear regression analysis to elucidate interrelations among these factors.

Findings

Through measuring and comparing the prementioned indicators with different economic and social events, the study paints a comprehensive picture of the macroeconomic environment and the real estate cycle in Egypt. Where demand has been found to be more sensitive and directly affected by macroeconomic factors than the supply. With the economic factor as the factor with the highest impact, especially in times of economic fluctuations, the impact has been immediate and short-term. These findings support the idea that the demand in Egypt is speculative, laying a threat of longer recession periods in the long term and having greater and more direct impact.

Originality/value

This paper contributes to the understanding of the Egyptian real estate market by integrating insights from real estate cycles, macroeconomics and specific market dynamics. The application of time series, correlation and multi-linear regression analysis provides a nuanced understanding of the interplay between several factors shaping the real estate cycle. Ultimately, the findings offer valuable insights for decision-makers involved in urban development planning, facilitating more informed and precise decision-making processes.

Details

International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1753-8270

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 3 September 2024

Sreekha Pullaykkodi and Rajesh H. Acharya

This study explores the association between market efficiency and speculation. The government of India temporarily banned the futures trading of various commodities several times…

Abstract

Purpose

This study explores the association between market efficiency and speculation. The government of India temporarily banned the futures trading of various commodities several times citing the presence of speculation. Many controversies exist about this topic; thus, this study clarifies the association between market efficiency and speculation and investigates whether market reforms altered this association.

Design/methodology/approach

The data for nine commodities is collected from the National Commodity and Derivative Exchange (NCDEX) for 2005–2022. Regression analysis and Automatic Variance Ratio (AVR) were adopted to inspect the informational efficiency and influence of speculation in the commodity market. Furthermore, this study uses different sub-samples to understand the changes in the market microstructure and its effects on market quality.

Findings

The results confirm an inverse and significant relationship between information efficiency and speculation and a deviation from the random walk process observed. Therefore, return predictability exists in the market. This study confirms that market reforms do not reduce the influence of speculation on market efficiency. The study concludes that the market is not weak-form efficient.

Research limitations/implications

This study has certain limitations, since this study is empirical in nature, it may possess the limitations of empirical research.

Originality/value

This paper has dual novelty. First, this study investigates the effects of market reforms. Second, this study captures the influence of speculation in the Indian agricultural commodity market by considering the market microstructure aspects.

Details

Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2044-0839

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 17 July 2024

Mudaser Ahad Bhat, Aamir Jamal and Farhana Wani

The purpose of this paper was to examine the nexus between conditional exchange rate volatility and economic growth in BRICS countries. Further, the dynamic causation between…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper was to examine the nexus between conditional exchange rate volatility and economic growth in BRICS countries. Further, the dynamic causation between economic growth and exchange rate volatility is also examined.

Design/methodology/approach

We employed three techniques, namely, dynamic panel models, static panel models and Dumitrescu and Hurlin (DH) panel causality test to examine the economic growth–conditional exchange rate volatility nexus in BRICS countries.

Findings

The overall results showed that conditional exchange rate volatility has a negative and significant effect on economic growth. Interestingly, the results showed that whenever the exchange rate volatility exceeds the 0–1.54 range, the economic growth of BRICS is reduced, on average, by 5%. Further, the results of the causality test reconciled with that of ARDL wherein unidirectional causality from exchange rate volatility, exports, labour force and gross capital formation to economic growth was found.

Research limitations/implications

The urgent recommendation is to develop and align fiscal, monetary, trade and exchange rate policies, either through creating a common currency region or through coordinated measures to offset volatility and trade risks in the long run. Further, to offset the impact of excessive exchange rate changes, BRICS economies can set up currency hedging systems, implement temporary capital controls during periods of extreme volatility or create currency swap agreements with other nations or regions. Last, but not least, investment and labour policies that are coherent and well-coordinated can support market stabilisation, promote investment and increase worker productivity and job prospects.

Originality/value

Researchers hold contrasting views regarding the effect of exchange rate volatility on economic growth. Some researchers claim that exchange rate volatility reduces growth, and several shreds of empirical evidence claim that lower exchange rate volatility is linked with an increase in economic growth, at least in the short run. However, the challenge lies in establishing the optimal range beyond which exchange rate volatility becomes detrimental to economic growth. The present study contributes to this aspect by seeking to identify the optimal spectrum beyond which excessive shifts in exchange rate volatility negatively affect economic growth, or endeavors to define the acceptable spectrum within which these fluctuations actually boost growth. To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to analyse the given research area. The present study used a dummy variable technique to capture the impact of permissible exchange rate band on the economic growth.

Details

Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2054-6238

Keywords

Book part
Publication date: 27 September 2024

Thammarak Moenjak

This chapter examines possible regulatory updates to address the challenges of monetary sovereignty and singleness of money. These two challenges are particularly pertinent to the…

Abstract

This chapter examines possible regulatory updates to address the challenges of monetary sovereignty and singleness of money. These two challenges are particularly pertinent to the new means of payments enabled by the use of distributed ledger technology (DLT). These new means of payment include cryptoassets such as bitcoin and ether, stablecoins and tokenized deposits. The degree to which these new means of payment can be a threat to monetary sovereignty and singleness of money can differ widely, depending on the contexts of the jurisdictions, as well as the details of these new means of payment themselves.

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