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1 – 10 of 481Linh Thi My Nguyen and Phong Thanh Nguyen
In this paper, the authors examine the short-term and long-term impact of general economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and crypto-specific policy uncertainty on Bitcoin’s (BTC…
Abstract
Purpose
In this paper, the authors examine the short-term and long-term impact of general economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and crypto-specific policy uncertainty on Bitcoin’s (BTC) exchange inflows – a form of crypto investor behaviors that the authors expect to drive the cryptocurrency volatility.
Design/methodology/approach
The authors use an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL), coupled with the bounds testing approach by Pesaran et al. (2001), to analyze a weekly dataset of BTC’s exchange inflows and relevant policy uncertainty indices.
Findings
The authors observe both short-term and long-term impacts of the crypto-specific policy uncertainty on BTC’s exchange inflows, whereas the general EPU only explains these inflows in a short-term manner. In addition, the authors find exchange inflows of BTC “Granger” cause its price volatility. Furthermore, the authors document a significant and relatively persistent response of BTC volatility to shocks to its exchange inflows.
Originality/value
This study’s findings offer significant contributions to research in policy uncertainty and investor behaviors.
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Kirti Sood, Prachi Pathak, Jinesh Jain and Sanjay Gupta
Research in the domain of behavioral finance has proven that investors demonstrate irrational behavior while making investment decisions. In a similar domain, the primary…
Abstract
Purpose
Research in the domain of behavioral finance has proven that investors demonstrate irrational behavior while making investment decisions. In a similar domain, the primary objective of this research is to prioritize the behavioral biases that influence cryptocurrency investors' investment decisions in the Indian context.
Design/methodology/approach
A fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (F-AHP) was used to prioritize the behavioral factors impacting cryptocurrency investors' investment decisions. Overconfidence and optimism, anchoring, representativeness, information availability, herding, regret aversion, and loss aversion are among the primary biases evaluated in the present study.
Findings
The findings suggested that the two most important influential criteria were herding and regret aversion, with loss aversion and information availability being the least influential criteria. Opinions of family, friends, and colleagues about investment in cryptocurrency, the sale of cryptocurrencies that have increased in value, the avoidance of selling currencies that have decreased in value, the agony of holding losing cryptocurrencies for too long rather than selling winning cryptocurrencies too soon, and the purchase of cryptocurrencies that have fallen significantly from their all-time high are the most important sub-criteria.
Research limitations/implications
This survey only covered active cryptocurrency participants. Additionally, the study was limited to individual crypto investors in one country, India, with a sample size of 467 participants. Although the sample size is appropriate, a larger sample size might reflect the more realistic scenario of the Indian crypto market.
Practical implications
The study is relevant to individual and institutional cryptocurrency investors, crypto portfolio managers, policymakers, researchers, market regulators, and society at large.
Originality/value
To the best of the authors' knowledge, no prior research has attempted to explain how the overall importance of various criteria and sub-criteria related to behavioral factors that influence the decision-making process of crypto retail investors can be assessed and how the priority of focus can be established, particularly in the Indian context.
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Devkant Kala, Dhani Shanker Chaubey and Ahmad Samed Al-Adwan
This study aims to investigate how fear of missing out (FOMO) mediates the relationship between cryptocurrency adoption intention and investment behavior among young Indians…
Abstract
Purpose
This study aims to investigate how fear of missing out (FOMO) mediates the relationship between cryptocurrency adoption intention and investment behavior among young Indians, using the extended unified theory of acceptance and use of technology.
Design/methodology/approach
The data were collected by using survey items on cryptocurrency adoption intention, investment behavior and FOMO derived from existing literature on information systems and cryptocurrencies. A total of 384 Indian participants completed an online questionnaire. The collected data was analyzed using PLS-SEM.
Findings
The findings indicate that facilitating conditions, social influence, effort expectancy and price value play important roles in cryptocurrency adoption. All hypothesized paths were significant, except for perceived risk. Furthermore, the study highlights that FOMO acts as a mediator between adoption intention and investment behavior.
Originality/value
This study makes a valuable addition to the literature by empirically exploring the influence of FOMO on the adoption of cryptocurrencies for investment purposes. The results provide valuable insights to crypto developers and exchanges regarding the diffusion of adoption in emerging markets. In addition, policymakers can gain meaningful insights into the influence of government regulations and FOMO on impulsive cryptocurrency behavior.
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Vijay Kumar Shrotryia and Himanshi Kalra
With the unprecedented growth of digitalization across the globe, a new asset class, that is cryptocurrency, has emerged to attract investors of all stripe. The novelty of this…
Abstract
Purpose
With the unprecedented growth of digitalization across the globe, a new asset class, that is cryptocurrency, has emerged to attract investors of all stripe. The novelty of this newly emerged asset class has led researchers to gauge anomalous trade patterns and behavioural fallacies in the crypto market. Therefore, the present study aims to examine the herd behaviour in a newly evolved cryptocurrency market during normal, skewed, Bitcoin bubble and COVID-19 phases. It, then, investigates the significance of Bitcoin in driving herding bias in the market. Finally, the study gauges herding contagion between the crypto market and stock markets.
Design/methodology/approach
The study employs daily closing prices of cryptocurrencies and relevant stocks of S&P 500 (USA), S&P BSE Sensex (Index) and MERVAL (Argentina) indices for a period spanning from June 2015 to May 2020. Quantile regression specifications of Chang et al.’s (2000) absolute deviation method have been used to locate herding bias. Dummy regression models have also been deployed to examine herd activity during skewed, crises and COVID-19 phases.
Findings
The descriptive statistics reveal that the relevant distributions are leptokurtic, justifying the selection of quantile regression to diagnose tails for herding bias. The empirical results provide robust evidence of crypto herd activity during normal, bullish and high volatility periods. Next, the authors find that the assumptions of traditional financial doctrines hold during the Bitcoin bubble. Further, the study reveals that the recent outbreak of COVID-19 subjects the crypto market to herding activity at quantile (t) = 0.60. Finally, no contagion is observed between cryptocurrency and stock market herding.
Practical implications
Drawing on the empirical findings, it is believed that in this age of digitalization and technological escalation, this new asset class can offer diversification benefits to the investors. Also, the crypto market seems quite immune to behavioural idiosyncrasies during turbulence. This may relieve regulators of the possible instability this market may pose to the entire financial system.
Originality/value
The present study appears to be the first attempt to diagnose leptokurtic tails of relevant distribution for crypto herding in the wake of two remarkable events: the crypto asset bubble (2016–2017) and the outbreak of coronavirus (early 2020).
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Ji Luo, Qingning Cao and Shuguang Zhang
The purpose of the research paper is to investigate the relationship between personality traits and investment decisions in the crypto market, including cryptocurrencies and NFTs…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of the research paper is to investigate the relationship between personality traits and investment decisions in the crypto market, including cryptocurrencies and NFTs. The study aims to explore the effect of dark personalities and the big five personalities on investment decisions in the crypto market.
Design/methodology/approach
The research was conducted through two online questionnaire studies. In Study 1, data were collected from the general public, while in Study 2, data were collected from crypto investors. The researchers analyzed the effect of dark personalities and the big five personalities on investment decisions in the crypto market.
Findings
The present research found that Machiavellianism, narcissism, psychopath, sadism and extraversion have positive effects on having crypto investments. In addition, focusing on actual crypto investors, the present paper showed that personalities including Machiavellianism, narcissism, psychopath, consciousness and extraversion have statistically significant effect on investment decisions such as making investments in Bitcoin.
Originality/value
The study is original in exploring the relationship between personality traits and investment decisions in the newly emerging crypto market, including cryptocurrencies and NFTs. The research provides insights into how different personality traits affect investment decisions in the crypto market, which can be valuable for investors in making informed decisions.
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H. Kent Baker, Hugo Benedetti, Ehsan Nikbakht and Sean Stein Smith
Anwar Hasan Abdullah Othman, Syed Musa Alhabshi and Razali Haron
This paper aims to examine whether the crypto-currencies’ market returns are symmetric or asymmetric informative, through analysing the daily logarithmic returns of bitcoin…
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to examine whether the crypto-currencies’ market returns are symmetric or asymmetric informative, through analysing the daily logarithmic returns of bitcoin currency over the period of 2011-2017.
Design/methodology/approach
In doing so, the symmetric informative analysis is estimated by applying the generalised auto-regressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) (1,1) model, whereas asymmetric informative or leverage effects analysis is estimated by exponential GARCH (1,1), asymmetric power ARCH (1,1) and threshold GARCH (1,1) models. In addition, the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity in mean (GARCH-M (1,1)) was applied to examine whether the risk-return trade-off phenomenon was persistent in crypto-currencies market.
Findings
The main findings indicate that bitcoin market return or volatility is symmetric informative and has a long memory to persist in the future. Furthermore, the sympatric volatility is found to be more sensitive to its past values (lagged) than to the new shock of the market values. However, asymmetric informative response of volatility to the negative and the positive shocks do not exist in the bitcoin market or, in other words, there is no leverage effect. This suggests that the bitcoin market is in harmony with the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) with respect to the asymmetric information and violated the EMH with regard to the symmetric information. Hence, the market price or return of bitcoin currency could not be predicted by simply exercising such past market information in the short-run investment. In addition, the estimated coefficient of conditional variance or risk premium (λ) in the mean equation of CHARCH–M (1,1) model is positive however, statistically insignificant. This indicates the absence of risk-return trade-off, in which case the higher market risk will not essentially lead to higher market returns. This paper has proposed that an investment in the crypto-currency market is more appropriate for risk-averse investors than risk takers.
Originality/value
The findings of the study will provide investors with necessary information about the bitcoin market price efficiency, hedging effectiveness and risk management.
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Blanka Škrabić Perić, Ana Rimac Smiljanić and Ivana Jerković
Crypto-asset can be traded on many different exchanges worldwide with servers located in countries with different financial characteristics and institutional surroundings. Trading…
Abstract
Purpose
Crypto-asset can be traded on many different exchanges worldwide with servers located in countries with different financial characteristics and institutional surroundings. Trading volume on these servers varies considerably regarding the server’s location, even though the prices do not differ greatly. Crypto-asset markets are poorly regulated and, as such, may leave a place for potential fraudulent activities and be linked to corruption. This paper aims to examine the role of country’s institutions in attracting Bitcoin traders.
Design/methodology/approach
Assuming heterogeneity between countries where crypto-asset exchange servers are located, the Pool Mean Group Estimator is used.
Findings
Results indicate that, from institutional variables, corruption in the country attracts while internal and external conflicts repel investors. Additionally, the growth of global uncertainty and the decline in the local stock markets motivate investors to trade Bitcoin.
Originality/value
Previous research has empirically proved the importance of institutions’ quality for financial market development. This paper goes one step further and tries to empirically confirm the theoretical assumptions and investigate in detail the role of institutions in choosing servers in a particular country for Bitcoin trading.
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Eloy Gil-Cordero, Pablo Ledesma-Chaves, Rocío Arteaga Sánchez and Ari Melo Mariano
The aim of this study is to examine the behavioral intention (BI) to adopt the Coinbase Wallet by Spanish users.
Abstract
Purpose
The aim of this study is to examine the behavioral intention (BI) to adopt the Coinbase Wallet by Spanish users.
Design/methodology/approach
A survey was administered to individuals residing in Spain between March and April 2021. There were 301 questionnaires analyzed. This research applies a new predictive model based on technology acceptance model (TAM) 2, the unified theory of acceptance and use of technology (UTAUT) model, the theory of perceived risk and the commitment trust theory. A mixed partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM)/fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) methodology was employed for the modeling and data analysis.
Findings
The results showed that all the variables proposed have a direct and positive influence on the intention to use a Coinbase Wallet. The findings present clear directions for traders, investors and academics focused on improving their understanding of the characteristics of these markets.
Originality/value
First, this study addresses important concerns relating to the adoption of crypto-wallets during the global pandemic. Second, this research contributes to the existing literature by adding electronic word of mouth (e-WOM), trust, web quality and perceived risk as new drivers of the intention to use the Coinbase Wallet, providing unique and innovative insights. Finally, the study offers a solid methodological contribution by integrating linear (PLS) and nonlinear (fsQCA) techniques, showing that both methodologies provide a better understanding of the problem and a more detailed awareness of the patterns of antecedent factors.
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This paper examines the factors which impact the behavioral intentions toward cryptocurrency based on signaling theory.
Abstract
Purpose
This paper examines the factors which impact the behavioral intentions toward cryptocurrency based on signaling theory.
Design/methodology/approach
Data were collected through online questionnaire, and responses from 223 individuals in Lebanon were analyzed through SEM technique using Amos 24.
Findings
The outcomes portrayed the positive effect of perceived benefits and trust in cryptocurrency on behavioral intentions toward cryptocurrency; while not supporting the hypothesized influence of herd behavior and regulatory support.
Originality/value
This paper is among the first studies to adopt Signaling Theory (ST) in the cryptocurrency behavioral intentions research. Moreover, it is of the initial efforts in Lebanon and Middle East in evaluating behavioral intentions to use cryptocurrency, and it provide insights for future researchers, crypto project owners, crypto investors and crypto trading platforms.
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