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Ukrainian rebels' independence hopes will fade

Location:

UKRAINE

The self-declared Donetsk People's Republic (DNR) and Luhansk People's Republic (LNR) have claimed statehood since 2014, but that may not fit into Russia's plans for a unitary…

Prospects for North Africa in 2018

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PROSPECTS 2018

North Africa prospects 2018.

South Sudan state governance poses threat to stability

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SOUTH SUDAN

State governance in South Sudan and its implications for peace prospects.

Ethiopia’s Amhara-Tigray tensions risk new flashpoints

Location:

ETHIOPIA

Amhara forces were central to the federal offensive into Tigray, but their support was in part motivated by a desire to assert claims over strategic areas they say were unfairly…

New states in South Sudan could entrench patronage

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SOUTH SUDAN

Governance in South Sudan.

Ethiopia teeters on the brink of civil war

Location:

ETHIOPIA

These developments threaten to ignite a multi-dimensional civil war pitting Tigrayan against federal and Amhara regional forces.

Referendum resistance shakes Mali president

Location:

MALI

It did not give a new date or explain the reason, but growing opposition to the referendum was likely a key factor. Still, the government will need a new constitution to provide…