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Referendum resistance shakes Mali president

Friday, June 23, 2017

Significance

It did not give a new date or explain the reason, but growing opposition to the referendum was likely a key factor. Still, the government will need a new constitution to provide legal backing to the peace process in the north.

Impacts

  • Successful peace implementation would undermine jihadists’ ability to operate in the region.
  • Jihadists would seek to disrupt any referendum process in the north and central regions by attacking voters, polling agents and stations.
  • The UN Mission in Mali (MINUSMA)'s mandate ends this month, but will be renewed for another year, given the precarious security situation.
  • The creation of the G5 anti-terrorist force will likely increase the pressure on jihadists.
  • However, participating countries will be at heightened risk of retaliatory attacks.
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