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Egypt will reap benefits from Israel-Gaza mediation

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EGYPT

Clashes in June and early July, including more Israeli airstrikes on Gaza and incendiary balloons floated into southern Israel from Gaza, were a reminder of weaknesses in the…

Burundi's crisis could have a regional security effect

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BURUNDI

While the Security Council vote reflects concern about Burundi's crisis, the protests are the latest example of the problems the international community confronts in trying to…

Default risk drives Venezuela institutional crisis

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VENEZUELA

In a major misstep linked to frantic efforts to raise monies for looming bond payments, on March 29 the Supreme Court (TSJ) temporarily usurped the functions of the…

Jordan’s debt levels are sustainable for the present

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JORDAN

Despite a series of IMF programmes since 1989, public sector debt levels have climbed to worrying heights, driven by deficits on both fiscal and current account accounts. Jordan’s…

Prospects for Venezuela to end-2017

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PROSPECTS H2 2017

Prospects for Venezuela to end-2017.

Foreign scrutiny will grow of Cameroon’s Biya

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CAMEROON

In recent months, a heightened crackdown on political dissent, alongside a deteriorating security crisis in the predominantly anglophone Northwest and Southwest, has prompted Nagy…

Apple's China bargain is running out of time

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CHINA

A major exception is Apple, for which China is both a major market and a global production base. The firm's activities in China have sparked controversies in both China and the…

South China Sea dispute will worsen markedly

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CHINA

The fallout from the COVID-19 crisis has worsened relations between Washington and Beijing and increased tensions in the disputed waters. China is taking advantage of the pandemic…

US troop timetable strengthens Afghan Taliban position

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AFGHANISTAN

The end-date is uncertain, after O'Brien and others contradicted President Donald Trump's Christmas deadline. Nevertheless, the US haste should focus minds in Kabul. Instead, the…

Syrian regime poised to defeat rebels in Aleppo

Location:

SYRIA

The United States, Russia and other international powers agreed a cessation of hostilities in Munich last week, scheduled to begin on February 18. However, the deal requires…