Foreign scrutiny will grow of Cameroon’s Biya

Significance

In recent months, a heightened crackdown on political dissent, alongside a deteriorating security crisis in the predominantly anglophone Northwest and Southwest, has prompted Nagy and other international actors to criticise the Biya administration's approach publicly.

Impacts

• Infighting and inadequate resources will hamper separatist fighters, but a deadlocked conflict may take hold over the short-to-medium term.
• Violence in the Northwest and Southwest will likely spiral further, leading to a worsened humanitarian situation.
• Businesses and schools in anglophone regions will face further disruption due to 'ghost town' strikes, with major economic and social costs.
• A growing political crackdown could prompt increased civil unrest in major cities in the predominantly francophone regions.