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War of attrition in Ukraine is unlikely to end soon

Location:

UKRAINE

After Ukraine’s summer counter-offensive failed to achieve any of its major objectives, Russia has regained the initiative in the ground war. It captured the frontline fortress…

War will make Bulgaria and Romania boost defence spend

Location:

BULGARIA/ROMANIA

The decision comes after the legislature endorsed, on November 3, the direct supply of weapons to Ukraine. The upgrading of defence by Bulgaria and its neighbour Romania…

Ukraine war is transforming Germany's defence industry

Location:

GERMANY

As the industry merges and expands, and seeks new European partnerships, the German government is seeking to increase its influence in the process. This ongoing transformation…

Russian war aims and grain plans to fuel global crisis

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia's naval blockade has left millions of tonnes of grain sitting in the port, reducing global supply at a time of food crisis. Moscow blames Kyiv for the stand-off while…

Prospects for Azerbaijan-Armenia peace deal are remote

Location:

ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN

The confrontation is the first such incident since the EU civilian mission in Armenia (EUMA) was launched on February 20 to observe the border from the Armenian side. It was the…

Prospects for Ukraine to end-2022

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for Ukraine to end-2022.

Ukraine war will amount to attrition and modest gains

Location:

UKRAINE/RUSSIA

His assessment is shared by US intelligence officials and most commentators outside Moscow. Russia has narrowed its military aims but territorial advances from week to week are…

Ukraine’s economy has yet to show signs of recovery

Location:

UKRAINE

All-out war has brought economic devastation unprecedented in both scale and depth. More than a year later, its extent is readily apparent in every major part of Ukraine’s…

Russian LNG sales will be stymied by a lack of tankers

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia’s gas export strategy is predicated on the rapid growth of liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports. Following the collapse of pipeline gas sales to Europe, Russia’s plans to…

Hydrocarbons wealth will entrench Libya divisions

Location:

LIBYA

The NOC-ENI agreement follows on from an earlier memorandum of understanding (MoU) which Turkey signed with the Tripoli-based Government of National Unity (GNU) in October. This…