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Opposition schisms threaten South Sudan’s peace

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SOUTH SUDAN

The declaration formalises growing divisions between senior SPLM-IO leaders and has already triggered intra-party fighting that left at least 34 dead.

Frictions with Moscow underline Belarusian dependence

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BELARUS

Disputes about fuel prices, as well as Belarusian concerns about Moscow's treatment of Ukraine, have marred the long-term Belarusian-Russian alignment. As head of the weaker…

Russia will opt for caution while Trump settles in

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RUSSIA/US

Moscow's evolving response to Donald Trump's election win.

Djibouti president entrenches own, national roles

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DJIBOUTI

Djibouti's political and regional outlook.

Belarus political 'tolerance' fits foreign policy aims

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BELARUS

Belarus's leadership is navigating carefully between Russia and the EU, avoiding alignment with Moscow against the West and exploring ways of engaging Europe on trade. Cautious…

Russian threat will boost Sweden-Finland cooperation

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SWEDEN/FINLAND

Sweden and Finland have a strong defence partnership and together work closely with NATO. Both are concerned about Russia's intentions, especially in their neighbourhood. Talk of…

Contradictions mar South African foreign policy

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SOUTH AFRICA

South Africa’s stance on the war in Ukraine reflects deeper tensions within the ruling ANC party and government over the country’s national interests.

Congo’s political elites begin electoral manoeuvres

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CONGO-KINSHASA

PALU’s call is the latest in a flurry of recent political activity, as Congo’s political elites scramble to cement alliances based on a newfound belief that elections, delayed…

Prospects for Iran to end-2020

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PROSPECTS H2 2020

Politicians will increasingly look to presidential polls due in 2021, further weakening the incumbent. The external environment remains largely unfavourable.

Internal security will drive Bahrain’s foreign policy

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BAHRAIN

Ten years after it experienced mass protests during the 2011 Arab uprisings, Manama remains deeply concerned about the potential threat from a Shia-led opposition -- and its…